Prediction: Derthona vs ASD Imperia
- Derthona0-0ASD Imperia
- ASD Imperia0-1Derthona
- Derthona4-2ASD Imperia
- ASD Imperia2-3Derthona
- ASD Imperia3-1Derthona
- Derthona4-2ASD Imperia
| Derthona | Draw | ASD Imperia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 35% | 32% |
| Market | 36% | 30% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Derthona (rating 1493 vs 1451).
- H2H favours Derthona: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Derthona | ASD Imperia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.4 | 2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.4 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Derthona 4–1–1 ASD Imperia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Italy Serie D | Derthona | 0-0 HT 0-0 | ASD Imperia |
| 14/12/25 Italy Serie D | ASD Imperia | 0-1 | Derthona |
| 16/02/25 Italy Serie D | Derthona | 4-2 HT 0-0 | ASD Imperia |
| 20/10/24 Italy Serie D | ASD Imperia | 2-3 | Derthona |
| 06/03/22 Italy Serie D | ASD Imperia | 3-1 | Derthona |
| 24/10/21 Italy Serie D | Derthona | 4-2 HT 0-2 | ASD Imperia |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Reggina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | ASD CastrumFavara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Nissa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | ASD Ragusa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Vigor Lamezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Milazzo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Enna Calcio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | ASD Licata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Città di Gela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 | Siracusa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 |
| 18 | Trapani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Derthona | ASD Imperia |
|---|---|---|
| Celle Varazze FBC | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Sanremese | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| NovaRomentino | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Cairese | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Biellesse | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Derthona (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Derthona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Celle Varazze FBC Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | ACSD Saluzzo Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | ASD Imperia Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Citta di Varese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Sanremese Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/04 | Celle Varazze FBC Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | NovaRomentino Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Asti Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 15/03 | Cairese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/03 | Biellesse Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
ASD Imperia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | ASD Millesimo Calcio Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Celle Varazze FBC Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Derthona Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Sanremese Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | NovaRomentino Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 29/03 | Cairese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Biellesse Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/03 | Lavagnese Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 01/03 | Chisola Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/02 | ASDC Gozzano Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Derthona vs ASD Imperia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Derthona win (35%). Probabilities: Derthona 35%, draw 32%, ASD Imperia 33%.
How many goals are expected in Derthona vs ASD Imperia?
The model expects 1.85 goals (Derthona 0.94 · ASD Imperia 0.91), with a 59% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Derthona vs ASD Imperia?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.