Prediction: Chisola vs Ligorna
- Ligorna1-0Chisola
- Chisola0-0Ligorna
- Ligorna4-0Chisola
- Chisola2-2Ligorna
- Ligorna1-0Chisola
- Ligorna2-1Chisola
| Chisola | Draw | Ligorna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 28% | 39% |
| Market | 33% | 28% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ligorna (rating 1474 vs 1540).
- H2H favours Ligorna: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chisola | Ligorna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 2.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/29/43% | 22/67/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.9 | 3.1 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chisola 0–2–4 Ligorna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Italy Serie D Play-Offs | Ligorna | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chisola |
| 12/04/26 Italy Serie D | Chisola | 0-0 | Ligorna |
| 30/11/25 Italy Serie D | Ligorna | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Chisola |
| 23/03/25 Italy Serie D | Chisola | 2-2 | Ligorna |
| 10/11/24 Italy Serie D | Ligorna | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chisola |
| 28/04/24 Italy Serie D | Ligorna | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Chisola |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Igea Virtus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | Sambiase | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Nissa FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 9 | ASD Licata | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 10 | Modica | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 12 | ASD CastrumFavara | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Città di Gela | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | ASD Ragusa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 16 | Siracusa | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | Enna Calcio | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 1 |
| 18 | Trapani | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -5 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chisola | Ligorna |
|---|---|---|
| Biellesse | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Sanremese | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Chisola (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chisola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Biellesse Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/09 | Sanremese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | USD Fezzanese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Valenzana Italy Serie D |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Lavagnese Italy Serie D |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | ASDC Gozzano Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Ligorna Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/04 | FC Vado Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | Sestri Levante Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/03 | Club Milano Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Ligorna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Celle Varazze FBC Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/09 | Derthona Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Biellesse Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Sanremese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Citta di Varese Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 5-3 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | NovaRomentino Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 9-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Asti Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Biellesse Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Chisola Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/04 | Cairese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chisola vs Ligorna?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ligorna win (39%). Probabilities: Chisola 33%, draw 28%, Ligorna 39%.
How many goals are expected in Chisola vs Ligorna?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Chisola 1.32 · Ligorna 1.46), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chisola vs Ligorna?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.