Football · Italy Serie D · 27/09, 15:00

Prediction: Sestri Levante vs Biellesse

Team pages: Biellesse

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Sestri Levante1.12
Biellesse1.17
1X2
34% 30% 36%
Sestri Levante Draw Biellesse
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Sestri Levante 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WWLLLLWLLD
Biellesse 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DDWLWLDWWD
Head-to-head
Sestri Levante 0–1–1 Biellesse (2 last)
  • Biellesse2-0Sestri Levante
  • Sestri Levante0-0Biellesse
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sestri Levante 1448 · Biellesse 1532
Sestri LevanteDrawBiellesse
Our model33%31%36%
Market34%29%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Biellesse (rating 1448 vs 1532).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sestri LevanteBiellesse
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.61.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 10.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/0/80%25/75/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.61.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 03.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sestri Levante 0–1–1 Biellesse

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Italy Serie D
Biellesse2-0
HT 1-0
Sestri Levante
30/11/25
Italy Serie D
Sestri Levante0-0Biellesse

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 4400 13012
2 Igea Virtus 4310 13810
3 Sambiase 4310 5210
4 Vibonese 4211 1157
5 Nissa FC 4211 867
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 4130 726
7 Milazzo 4202 456
8 Calcio Avola 1949 4202 7106
9 ASD Licata 4121 375
10 Modica 4112 344
11 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 4112 684
12 ASD CastrumFavara 4112 544
13 Città di Gela 4112 453
14 ASD Ragusa 4022 472
15 Vigor Lamezia 4022 492
16 Siracusa 4220 741
17 Enna Calcio 4013 091
18 Trapani 4004 110-5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sestri Levante

WWLLLLWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 GSD Lascaris
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
16/09 USD Fezzanese
Italy Serie D
– 0-3 –– L
13/09 Alessandria
Italy Serie D
1-2 1-2 31 L
06/09 Asti
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
03/05 Sanremese
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
26/04 Celle Varazze FBC
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 83 L
19/04 Asti
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 13 L
12/04 Biellesse
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 62 L
02/04 NovaRomentino
Italy Serie D
2-0 5-2 52 W
29/03 Chisola
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W

Biellesse

DDWLWLDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Chisola
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 32 D
16/09 AC Bra
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 34 W
13/09 Ligorna
Italy Serie D
1-1 3-1 38 W
06/09 ACSD Saluzzo
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
03/05 FC Vado
Italy Serie D
– 2-3 –– L
26/04 ASDC Gozzano
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-0 12 W
19/04 Ligorna
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 34 L
12/04 Sestri Levante
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 102 W
02/04 Club Milano
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 12 D
28/03 ACSD Saluzzo
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 83 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sestri Levante vs Biellesse?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Biellesse win (36%). Probabilities: Sestri Levante 34%, draw 30%, Biellesse 36%.

How many goals are expected in Sestri Levante vs Biellesse?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Sestri Levante 1.12 · Biellesse 1.17), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sestri Levante vs Biellesse?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.