Football · Italy Serie D · 13/09, 15:00

Prediction: Biellesse vs Ligorna

Team pages: Ligorna

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Biellesse1.32
Ligorna1.28
1X2
37% 29% 34%
Biellesse Draw Ligorna
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Biellesse 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WWWDDWLWLD
Ligorna 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DWLDDWDWWD
Head-to-head
Biellesse 0–2 Ligorna (2 last)
  • Ligorna2-1Biellesse
  • Biellesse1-4Ligorna
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Biellesse 1528 · Ligorna 1560
BiellesseDrawLigorna
Our model37%29%35%
Market37%29%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Ligorna: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BiellesseLigorna
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.82.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.31 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)57/43/0%33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.92.6 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 04 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Biellesse 002 Ligorna

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
Italy Serie D
Ligorna2-1
HT 1-1
Biellesse
07/12/25
Italy Serie D
Biellesse1-4Ligorna

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
1 Reggina 1100 503
3 Vibonese 1100 403
4 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 Sambiase 1100 213
8 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 1010 221
8 ASD Ragusa 1010 221
10 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 1001 240
12 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
13 Milazzo 1001 030
14 Enna Calcio 1001 050
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Biellesse

WWWDDWLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 ACSD Saluzzo
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
03/05 FC Vado
Italy Serie D
2-3 L
26/04 ASDC Gozzano
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-0 12 W
19/04 Ligorna
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 34 L
12/04 Sestri Levante
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 102 W
02/04 Club Milano
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 12 D
28/03 ACSD Saluzzo
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 83 D
22/03 ASD Imperia
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
15/03 Celle Varazze FBC
Italy Serie D
3-1 6-1 64 W
01/03 Derthona
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-0 53 W

Ligorna

DWLDDWDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Sanremese
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-2 45 D
17/05 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
3-0 5-3 66 W
03/05 NovaRomentino
Italy Serie D
3-0 9-1 91 W
26/04 Asti
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 74 D
19/04 Biellesse
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 94 W
12/04 Chisola
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
02/04 Cairese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 65 D
29/03 Valenzana
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 47 L
22/03 Lavagnese
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 62 W
15/03 FC Vado
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 53 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Biellesse vs Ligorna?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Biellesse win (37%). Probabilities: Biellesse 37%, draw 29%, Ligorna 34%.

How many goals are expected in Biellesse vs Ligorna?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Biellesse 1.32 · Ligorna 1.28), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Biellesse vs Ligorna?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.