Football · Italy Serie D · 18/10, 20:00

Prediction: Biellesse vs Valenzana

Team pages: Biellesse

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Biellesse1.96
Valenzana1.04
1X2
57% 24% 18%
Biellesse Draw Valenzana
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Biellesse 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWLDWWDWWL
Valenzana 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WLLLLLDLWD
Head-to-head
Biellesse 3–0 Valenzana (3 last)
  • Valenzana0-2Biellesse
  • Biellesse2-0Valenzana
  • Biellesse1-0Valenzana
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Biellesse 1553 · Valenzana 1468
BiellesseDrawValenzana
Our model58%24%19%
Market57%25%18%
Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Biellesse (rating 1553 vs 1468).
  • H2H favours Biellesse: 3-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BiellesseValenzana
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.21.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.71 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/57/0%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)0.8 / 2.32.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 04 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Biellesse 3–0–0 Valenzana

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/01/26
Italy Serie D
Valenzana0-2
HT 0-1
Biellesse
14/09/25
Italy Serie D
Biellesse2-0
HT 1-0
Valenzana
24/08/25
Italy Serie D Cup
Biellesse1-0
HT 0-0
Valenzana

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 7511 16216
2 Sambiase 7511 11516
3 Calcio Avola 1949 7502 111015
4 Vibonese 7421 16614
5 ASD Licata 7421 10914
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 7331 13512
7 Igea Virtus 7322 161411
8 Milazzo 7313 6910
9 Nissa FC 7232 10109
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 7223 10108
11 Siracusa 7421 1157
12 Modica 7214 7107
13 ASD CastrumFavara 7214 897
14 Città di Gela 7133 575
15 Vigor Lamezia 7124 7165
16 ASD Ragusa 7034 5103
17 Trapani 7205 3111
18 Enna Calcio 7016 0171

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Biellesse

LWLDWWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 ASD Imperia
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
04/10 ASDC Gozzano
Italy Serie D
2-1 4-1 15 W
27/09 Sestri Levante
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-1 23 W
20/09 Chisola
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 32 D
16/09 AC Bra
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 34 W
13/09 Ligorna
Italy Serie D
1-1 3-1 38 W
06/09 ACSD Saluzzo
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
03/05 FC Vado
Italy Serie D
– 2-3 –– L
26/04 ASDC Gozzano
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-0 12 W
19/04 Ligorna
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 34 L

Valenzana

WLLLLLDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Sanremese
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
04/10 USD Fezzanese
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 38 W
27/09 Borgosesia
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-2 76 L
20/09 Asti
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
16/09 GSD Lascaris
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
12/09 ASD Millesimo Calcio
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
06/09 Alessandria
Italy Serie D
1-2 1-2 32 L
03/05 Chisola
Italy Serie D
1-3 2-3 82 L
26/04 Cairese
Italy Serie D
– 0-4 –– L
19/04 Lavagnese
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-0 33 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Biellesse vs Valenzana?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Biellesse win (57%). Probabilities: Biellesse 57%, draw 24%, Valenzana 18%.

How many goals are expected in Biellesse vs Valenzana?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Biellesse 1.96 · Valenzana 1.04), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Biellesse vs Valenzana?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.