Football · Italy Serie D · 28/10, 14:30

Prediction: Celle Varazze FBC vs ASDC Gozzano

Team pages: Celle Varazze FBC · ASDC Gozzano

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Celle Varazze FBC1.14
ASDC Gozzano1.31
1X2
32% 28% 40%
Celle Varazze FBC Draw ASDC Gozzano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Celle Varazze FBC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
WWLLLLLLDL
ASDC Gozzano 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLWLDWWLLL
Head-to-head
Celle Varazze FBC 2–0 ASDC Gozzano (2 last)
  • Celle Varazze FBC3-1ASDC Gozzano
  • ASDC Gozzano1-2Celle Varazze FBC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Celle Varazze FBC 1425 · ASDC Gozzano 1459
Celle Varazze FBCDrawASDC Gozzano
Our model31%30%39%
Market33%26%41%
Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Celle Varazze FBC: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Celle Varazze FBCASDC Gozzano
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 1.61.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.20.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%29/14/57%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 32.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.23.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Celle Varazze FBC 2–0–0 ASDC Gozzano

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/01/26
Italy Serie D
Celle Varazze FBC3-1
HT 1-1
ASDC Gozzano
20/09/25
Italy Serie D
ASDC Gozzano1-2Celle Varazze FBC

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sambiase 9621 13620
2 Reggina 8611 18319
3 Vibonese 9531 20818
4 Calcio Avola 1949 9513 121216
5 Milazzo 9513 101016
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 9432 15815
7 Igea Virtus 9432 211715
8 ASD Licata 8422 101314
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 8323 111011
10 Città di Gela 9243 1089
11 Nissa FC 9234 11139
12 Siracusa 8431 1268
13 Vigor Lamezia 9225 10178
14 Modica 8215 7117
15 ASD CastrumFavara 8215 8107
16 Trapani 9315 5125
17 ASD Ragusa 9036 7163
18 Enna Calcio 9027 2222

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCelle Varazze FBCASDC Gozzano
Chisola 0-4 L 2-3 L
Ligorna 0-2 L 0-4 L
Sanremese 0-1 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: ASDC Gozzano (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Celle Varazze FBC

WWLLLLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 ASD Imperia
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 30 L
11/10 Sestri Levante
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 35 D
07/10 AC Bra
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
04/10 Chisola
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-4 27 L
20/09 Ligorna
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 53 L
16/09 ACSD Saluzzo
Italy Serie D
– 1-3 –– L
12/09 Sanremese
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
06/09 Derthona
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
03/05 ASD Imperia
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
26/04 Sestri Levante
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 23 W

ASDC Gozzano

WLWLDWWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Chisola
Italy Serie D
0-1 2-3 25 L
11/10 Ligorna
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-4 73 L
04/10 Biellesse
Italy Serie D
1-2 1-4 55 L
27/09 Sanremese
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 03 W
21/09 USD Fezzanese
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 23 W
16/09 Borgosesia
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
12/09 Asti
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
03/05 Cairese
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
26/04 Biellesse
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-2 92 L
19/04 Chisola
Italy Serie D
2-1 3-2 54 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Celle Varazze FBC vs ASDC Gozzano?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ASDC Gozzano win (40%). Probabilities: Celle Varazze FBC 32%, draw 28%, ASDC Gozzano 40%.

How many goals are expected in Celle Varazze FBC vs ASDC Gozzano?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Celle Varazze FBC 1.14 · ASDC Gozzano 1.31), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Celle Varazze FBC vs ASDC Gozzano?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.