Football · Italy Serie D · 25/10, 15:00

Prediction: AC Nardo vs Fidelis Andria

Team pages: AC Nardo · Fidelis Andria

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
AC Nardo0.99
Fidelis Andria1.29
1X2
28% 29% 43%
AC Nardo Draw Fidelis Andria
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Nardo 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LWLDDWLLDL
Fidelis Andria 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DLLLDLLWWW
Head-to-head
AC Nardo 2–1–3 Fidelis Andria (6 last)
  • AC Nardo3-2Fidelis Andria
  • Fidelis Andria0-0AC Nardo
  • Fidelis Andria1-0AC Nardo
  • AC Nardo0-2Fidelis Andria
  • AC Nardo1-6Fidelis Andria
  • AC Nardo1-0Fidelis Andria
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Nardo 1447 · Fidelis Andria 1482
AC NardoDrawFidelis Andria
Our model27%31%42%
Market29%28%44%
Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Fidelis Andria: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AC NardoFidelis Andria
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.51 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.80.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/40/60%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 4.61.4 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.63.3 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Nardo 2–1–3 Fidelis Andria

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/03/26
Italy Serie D
AC Nardo3-2
HT 2-0
Fidelis Andria
26/10/25
Italy Serie D
Fidelis Andria0-0AC Nardo
16/02/25
Italy Serie D
Fidelis Andria1-0
HT 0-0
AC Nardo
20/10/24
Italy Serie D
AC Nardo0-2
HT 0-1
Fidelis Andria
01/09/24
Italy Serie D Cup
AC Nardo1-6
HT 1-4
Fidelis Andria
12/05/24
Italy Serie D
AC Nardo1-0
HT 0-0
Fidelis Andria

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 8611 18319
2 Sambiase 8521 12617
3 Calcio Avola 1949 8512 121116
4 Vibonese 8431 17715
5 Igea Virtus 8422 191514
6 ASD Licata 7421 10914
7 Milazzo 8413 91013
8 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 8332 14812
9 Nissa FC 8233 11129
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 7223 10108
11 Vigor Lamezia 8224 10168
12 Siracusa 7421 1157
13 Modica 7214 7107
14 ASD CastrumFavara 8215 8107
15 Città di Gela 8143 686
16 Trapani 8305 4114
17 ASD Ragusa 8035 6133
18 Enna Calcio 8017 0201

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAC NardoFidelis Andria
Brindisi FC 0-2 L 0-1 L
FBC Gravina 1-1 D 1-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Nardo

LWLDDWLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Brindisi FC
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 10 L
11/10 FBC Gravina
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 46 D
04/10 US Palmese 1914
Italy Serie D
– 2-4 –– L
27/09 Martina
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-3 46 L
20/09 Ischia
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
16/09 Melfi
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 63 D
12/09 Ebolitana
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
06/09 Bisceglie 1913
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 83 L
03/05 Barletta
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
26/04 ASD Ferrandina 17890
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L

Fidelis Andria

DLLLDLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Virtus Francavilla
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
11/10 Real Aversa 1925
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 46 W
04/10 Real Forio 2014
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
27/09 SS Turris Calcio
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 21 L
20/09 Gladiator
Italy Serie D
– 2-3 –– L
16/09 Manfredonia
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 53 D
12/09 Brindisi FC
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 22 L
06/09 FBC Gravina
Italy Serie D
– 1-3 –– L
03/05 FC Pompei
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 56 L
26/04 Manfredonia
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 26 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Nardo vs Fidelis Andria?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fidelis Andria win (43%). Probabilities: AC Nardo 28%, draw 29%, Fidelis Andria 43%.

How many goals are expected in AC Nardo vs Fidelis Andria?

The model expects 2.28 goals (AC Nardo 0.99 · Fidelis Andria 1.29), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Nardo vs Fidelis Andria?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.