Football · Italy Serie D · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: Ligorna vs Sanremese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Ligorna1.57
Sanremese0.85
1X2
53% 27% 20%
Ligorna Draw Sanremese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Ligorna 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LDWLDDWDWW
Sanremese 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWLDLDWW
Head-to-head
Ligorna 3–2–1 Sanremese (6 last)
  • Ligorna3-1Sanremese
  • Sanremese1-1Ligorna
  • Ligorna5-1Sanremese
  • Sanremese0-0Ligorna
  • Ligorna0-3Sanremese
  • Sanremese0-1Ligorna
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ligorna 1549 · Sanremese 1543
LigornaDrawSanremese
Our model53%28%19%
Market54%26%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Ligorna: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LigornaSanremese
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.91.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.20.5 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/67/0%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 6.80.5 / 1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.25 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ligorna 321 Sanremese

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/01/26
Italy Serie D
Ligorna3-1
HT 2-0
Sanremese
14/09/25
Italy Serie D
Sanremese1-1Ligorna
29/01/25
Italy Serie D
Ligorna5-1
HT 3-1
Sanremese
02/10/24
Italy Serie D
Sanremese0-0Ligorna
14/04/24
Italy Serie D
Ligorna0-3
HT 0-1
Sanremese
03/12/23
Italy Serie D
Sanremese0-1
HT 0-0
Ligorna

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Sambiase 000 000
1 ASD CastrumFavara 000 000
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 000 000
1 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 000 000
1 ASD Ragusa 000 000
1 Calcio Avola 1949 000 000
1 Enna Calcio 000 000
1 Igea Virtus 000 000
1 ASD Licata 000 000
1 Reggina 000 000
1 Milazzo 000 000
1 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 000 000
1 Nissa FC 000 000
1 Vibonese 000 000
1 Vigor Lamezia 000 000
16 Città di Gela 000 00-1
17 Trapani 000 00-5
18 Siracusa 000 00-7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLigornaSanremese
Citta di Varese 5-3 W 0-0 D
NovaRomentino 9-1 W 3-2 W
Asti 1-1 D 0-1 L
Biellesse 2-1 W 2-1 W
Cairese 0-0 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 0 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ligorna (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ligorna

LDWLDDWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/05 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
3-0 5-3 66 W
03/05 NovaRomentino
Italy Serie D
3-0 9-1 91 W
26/04 Asti
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 74 D
19/04 Biellesse
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 94 W
12/04 Chisola
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
02/04 Cairese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 65 D
29/03 Valenzana
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 47 L
22/03 Lavagnese
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 62 W
15/03 FC Vado
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 53 D
01/03 ASDC Gozzano
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 98 L

Sanremese

WWLWLDLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/05 Sestri Levante
Italy Serie D
2-0 W
26/04 Club Milano
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
19/04 ASD Imperia
Italy Serie D
2-2 D
12/04 Derthona
Italy Serie D
1-2 L
29/03 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 16 D
22/03 Celle Varazze FBC
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
15/03 NovaRomentino
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-2 14 W
01/03 Asti
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
22/02 Cairese
Italy Serie D
2-0 W
15/02 Biellesse
Italy Serie D
2-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ligorna vs Sanremese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ligorna win (53%). Probabilities: Ligorna 53%, draw 27%, Sanremese 20%.

How many goals are expected in Ligorna vs Sanremese?

The model expects 2.43 goals (Ligorna 1.57 · Sanremese 0.85), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ligorna vs Sanremese?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.