Football · Spain Tercera Group 14 · 11/10, 12:00

Prediction: Villanovense vs CD Azuaga

Team pages: Villanovense · CD Azuaga

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Villanovense1.09
CD Azuaga0.99
1X2
37% 30% 32%
Villanovense Draw CD Azuaga
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Villanovense 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWWWLLLWWD
CD Azuaga 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WDWLLWWWWW
Head-to-head
Villanovense 3–1–1 CD Azuaga (5 last)
  • Villanovense1-0CD Azuaga
  • Villanovense0-1CD Azuaga
  • CD Azuaga0-0Villanovense
  • CD Azuaga0-2Villanovense
  • Villanovense2-0CD Azuaga
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Villanovense 1520 · CD Azuaga 1568
VillanovenseDrawCD Azuaga
Our model36%33%31%
Market38%28%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Azuaga (rating 1520 vs 1568).
  • H2H favours Villanovense: 3-1-1.
  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VillanovenseCD Azuaga
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.72.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.71.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)67/0/33%50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 52 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.74 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Villanovense 3–1–1 CD Azuaga

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/08/26
Club Friendly List
Villanovense1-0
HT 1-0
CD Azuaga
08/02/26
Spain Tercera Group 14
Villanovense0-1CD Azuaga
28/09/25
Spain Tercera Group 14
CD Azuaga0-0Villanovense
02/02/20
Spain Tercera Group 14
CD Azuaga0-2Villanovense
15/09/19
Spain Tercera Group 14
Villanovense2-0CD Azuaga

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 14

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CD Azuaga 5500 14215
2 Moralo 5320 9511
3 AD Llerenense 4310 3010
4 Castuera 4301 839
5 E.F. Puebla de la Calzada 5221 848
6 CD Gevora 5221 898
7 CD Zafra 4211 537
8 Villanovense 5212 547
9 SP Villafranca 5203 786
10 UD Montijo 5203 686
11 Santa Amalia 5131 656
12 CD Cabeza del Buey 5122 665
13 Jerez 4112 464
14 CF Jaraiz 5113 694
15 CD Quintana 4112 254
16 At. Pueblonuevo 5032 5103
17 Plasencia 4013 281
18 CD Guadiana 5014 2111

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVillanovenseCD Azuaga
CD Cabeza del Buey 1-1 D 2-1 W
UD Montijo 2-0 W 2-0 W
SP Villafranca 1-0 W 4-1 W
Moralo 1-2 L 0-1 L
Jerez 2-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Azuaga (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Villanovense

WWWWLLLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 CD Cabeza del Buey
Spain Tercera Group 14
– 1-1 –– D
27/09 UD Montijo
Spain Tercera Group 14
1-0 2-0 53 W
20/09 SP Villafranca
Spain Tercera Group 14
– 1-0 –– W
13/09 AD Llerenense
Spain Tercera Group 14
– 0-1 –– L
06/09 Moralo
Spain Tercera Group 14
– 1-2 –– L
10/05 CF Jaraiz
Spain Tercera Group 14
0-1 0-1 85 L
03/05 CP Montehermoso
Spain Tercera Group 14
– 3-0 –– W
26/04 Jerez
Spain Tercera Group 14
– 2-0 –– W
19/04 CD Cabeza del Buey
Spain Tercera Group 14
2-1 3-2 29 W
12/04 AD Llerenense
Spain Tercera Group 14
– 2-0 –– W

CD Azuaga

WDWLLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 CD Guadiana
Spain Tercera Group 14
– 4-0 –– W
27/09 Jerez
Spain Tercera Group 14
– 2-0 –– W
20/09 CD Cabeza del Buey
Spain Tercera Group 14
– 2-1 –– W
13/09 UD Montijo
Spain Tercera Group 14
– 2-0 –– W
06/09 SP Villafranca
Spain Tercera Group 14
– 4-1 –– W
17/05 Moralo
Spain Tercera Group 14
0-1 0-1 52 L
10/05 At. Pueblonuevo
Spain Tercera Group 14
– 0-1 –– L
02/05 UD Montijo
Spain Tercera Group 14
3-1 4-2 86 W
26/04 Moralo
Spain Tercera Group 14
– 1-1 –– D
19/04 CD Diocesano
Spain Tercera Group 14
– 2-0 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Villanovense vs CD Azuaga?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Villanovense win (37%). Probabilities: Villanovense 37%, draw 30%, CD Azuaga 32%.

How many goals are expected in Villanovense vs CD Azuaga?

The model expects 2.08 goals (Villanovense 1.09 · CD Azuaga 0.99), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Villanovense vs CD Azuaga?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.