Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 13/09, 18:00
Prediction: Ontinyent vs Atletico Saguntino
Team pages: Ontinyent · Atletico Saguntino
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
Ontinyent0.93
Atletico Saguntino1.14
1X2
Ontinyent
Draw
Atletico Saguntino
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Ontinyent
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Atletico Saguntino
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ontinyent
3–2–1
Atletico Saguntino
(6 last)
- Ontinyent0-1Atletico Saguntino
- Atletico Saguntino0-1Ontinyent
- Ontinyent1-1Atletico Saguntino
- Atletico Saguntino0-0Ontinyent
- Ontinyent1-0Atletico Saguntino
- Atletico Saguntino1-2Ontinyent
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ontinyent 1434 · Atletico Saguntino 1565
| Ontinyent | Draw | Atletico Saguntino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 33% | 39% |
| Market | 29% | 31% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.07 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Saguntino (rating 1434 vs 1565).
- H2H favours Ontinyent: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ontinyent | Atletico Saguntino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.6 | 1.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/0/100% | 56/22/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 3.8 | 1.7 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.4 | 5.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ontinyent 3–2–1 Atletico Saguntino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Ontinyent | 0-1 | Atletico Saguntino |
| 06/12/25 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Atletico Saguntino | 0-1 | Ontinyent |
| 17/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Ontinyent | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Atletico Saguntino |
| 08/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Atletico Saguntino | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ontinyent |
| 22/04/18 Spain Segunda B Group 3 | Ontinyent | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Saguntino |
| 25/11/17 Spain Segunda B Group 3 | Atletico Saguntino | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Ontinyent |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Torrent C.F. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Villarreal C | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Atletico Saguntino | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | CD Bunol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | CD Roda | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | SC Torrevieja CF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Eldense B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Crevillente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Utiel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | UD Vall De Uxo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Levante B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Atzeneta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Hercules II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Ontinyent | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Athletic Torrellano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Acero | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Soneja | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Jove Espanol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ontinyent | Atletico Saguntino |
|---|---|---|
| CD Roda | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Levante B | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Hercules II | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| UD Castellonense | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Villarreal C | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| La Nucia | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Saguntino (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ontinyent
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 09/05 | Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/04 | Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 29/03 | La Nucia Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 15/03 | Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Atletico Saguntino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 19/04 | UD Alzira Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 28/03 | Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 21/03 | CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/03 | La Nucia Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ontinyent vs Atletico Saguntino?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico Saguntino win (40%). Probabilities: Ontinyent 29%, draw 32%, Atletico Saguntino 40%.
How many goals are expected in Ontinyent vs Atletico Saguntino?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Ontinyent 0.93 · Atletico Saguntino 1.14), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ontinyent vs Atletico Saguntino?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.