Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: CD Roda vs Crevillente

Team pages: CD Roda · Crevillente

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

CD Roda1.19

Crevillente1.07

1X2

38% 31% 32%

CD Roda Draw Crevillente

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Roda 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Crevillente 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLWWWD

Head-to-head

CD Roda 1–3–2 Crevillente (6 last)

Crevillente2-0CD Roda
CD Roda3-0Crevillente
CD Roda2-3Crevillente
Crevillente1-1CD Roda
Crevillente1-1CD Roda
CD Roda1-1Crevillente

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Roda 1498 · Crevillente 1497

	CD Roda	Draw	Crevillente
Our model	37%	31%	31%
Market	38%	30%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Crevillente: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Roda	Crevillente
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 2.9	1.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.00

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.73

2 (0)2.08

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.38▲	Bet365 2.38
X	3.10 → 3.00▼	Bet365 3.00
2	3.20 → 2.80▼	Pinn 3.12 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:59 +4’	2.10	3.10	3.20
17:20 +9’	2.38▲	3.00▼	2.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:12 +77’	2.33	2.90	3.02
13:07 +29’	2.27▼	2.92▲	3.12▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Roda 1–3–2 Crevillente

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Crevillente	2-0 HT 0-0	CD Roda
11/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Roda	3-0 HT 0-0	Crevillente
22/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Roda	2-3 HT 1-1	Crevillente
22/01/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Crevillente	1-1 HT 0-1	CD Roda
11/12/19 Spain Tercera Group 6	Crevillente	1-1 HT 1-0	CD Roda
19/01/19 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Roda	1-1 HT 0-0	Crevillente

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Torrent C.F.	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
2	Villarreal C	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
3	Crevillente	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
4	UD Vall De Uxo	2	1	1	0	2	0	4
5	CD Bunol	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
6	Eldense B	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
7	CD Roda	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
8	Ontinyent	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
9	SC Torrevieja CF	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
10	Atletico Saguntino	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
11	Utiel	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
12	Hercules II	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
13	Jove Espanol	2	0	1	1	2	6	1
14	Levante B	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
14	Atzeneta	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
14	Acero	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
17	Soneja	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
18	Athletic Torrellano	2	0	0	2	1	3	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Roda	Crevillente
Ontinyent	2-1 W	2-0 W
Soneja	0-1 L	2-2 D
Hercules II	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Crevillente (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Roda

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-2	2	6	L
06/09	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
09/05	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-2	2	1	L
02/05	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
26/04	CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-0	2	9	W
18/04	Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	3-1	8	3	W
12/04	UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
02/04	UD Alzira Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
29/03	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	1-2	0	3	L
25/03	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	3	8	W

Crevillente

WLDLLLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	2-1	2-2	6	3	D
05/09	Acero Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
09/05	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
02/05	Recambios Colon Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	2-1	4	12	W
26/04	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	2-4	4	6	L
18/04	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-4	2	4	L
12/04	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	0-2	2-3	2	9	L
04/04	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
29/03	UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
22/03	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-0	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Roda vs Crevillente?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Roda win (38%). Probabilities: CD Roda 38%, draw 31%, Crevillente 32%.

How many goals are expected in CD Roda vs Crevillente?

The model expects 2.26 goals (CD Roda 1.19 · Crevillente 1.07), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Roda vs Crevillente?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.