Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 20/09, 11:30

Prediction: Levante B vs Ontinyent

Team pages: Levante B · Ontinyent

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

Levante B1.5

Ontinyent0.8

1X2

53% 28% 19%

Levante B Draw Ontinyent

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Levante B 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Ontinyent 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Levante B 3–1–2 Ontinyent (6 last)

Ontinyent0-1Levante B
Levante B0-0Ontinyent
Ontinyent2-0Levante B
Levante B3-1Ontinyent
Ontinyent1-0Levante B
Levante B1-0Ontinyent

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Levante B 1525 · Ontinyent 1441

	Levante B	Draw	Ontinyent
Our model	53%	29%	19%
Market	53%	28%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Levante B (rating 1525 vs 1441).
H2H favours Levante B: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Levante B	Ontinyent
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1	0.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	0/17/83%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	2.2 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.4	5.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.31 ★
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:09 +64’	1.70	3.20	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:28 +267’	1.68	3.31	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Levante B 3–1–2 Ontinyent

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Ontinyent	0-1 HT 0-1	Levante B
10/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Levante B	0-0 HT 0-0	Ontinyent
30/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Ontinyent	2-0 HT 2-0	Levante B
17/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	Levante B	3-1 HT 1-0	Ontinyent
24/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	Ontinyent	1-0 HT 1-0	Levante B
05/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 6	Levante B	1-0 HT 0-0	Ontinyent

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Torrent C.F.	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
2	Villarreal C	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
3	Crevillente	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
4	UD Vall De Uxo	2	1	1	0	2	0	4
5	CD Bunol	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
6	Eldense B	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
7	CD Roda	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
8	Ontinyent	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
9	SC Torrevieja CF	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
10	Atletico Saguntino	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
11	Utiel	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
12	Hercules II	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
13	Jove Espanol	2	0	1	1	2	6	1
14	Levante B	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
14	Atzeneta	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
14	Acero	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
17	Soneja	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
18	Athletic Torrellano	2	0	0	2	1	3	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Levante B	Ontinyent
Atletico Saguntino	1-2 L	1-0 W
Villarreal C	3-1 W	0-2 L
La Nucia	2-3 L	0-2 L
Crevillente	4-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Levante B (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Levante B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
06/09	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-2	1-2	7	7	L
17/05	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	3-1	0	7	W
09/05	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
02/05	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
26/04	La Nucia Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-3	1	8	L
18/04	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	4-1	8	4	W
11/04	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
04/04	CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6	3-0	4-0	4	9	W
29/03	Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6	3-0	3-0	3	9	W

Ontinyent

LLLLWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	1	9	W
06/09	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-2	4	8	L
09/05	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-1	0	3	L
02/05	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/04	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	–	0-1	–	–	L
18/04	UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/04	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	–	0-1	–	–	L
02/04	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-2	4	9	L
29/03	La Nucia Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
22/03	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-2	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Levante B vs Ontinyent?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Levante B win (53%). Probabilities: Levante B 53%, draw 28%, Ontinyent 19%.

How many goals are expected in Levante B vs Ontinyent?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Levante B 1.5 · Ontinyent 0.8), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Levante B vs Ontinyent?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.