Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 13/09, 18:00

Prediction: Villarreal C vs CD Roda

Team pages: Villarreal C · CD Roda

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.33Total

Villarreal C1.54

CD Roda0.79

1X2

54% 27% 19%

Villarreal C Draw CD Roda

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Villarreal C 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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CD Roda 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Villarreal C 1–3–2 CD Roda (6 last)

Villarreal C4-1CD Roda
CD Roda0-0Villarreal C
CD Roda0-0Villarreal C
Villarreal C0-0CD Roda
CD Roda2-0Villarreal C
Villarreal C0-3CD Roda

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Villarreal C 1602 · CD Roda 1488

	Villarreal C	Draw	CD Roda
Our model	54%	28%	18%
Market	55%	26%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villarreal C (rating 1602 vs 1488).
H2H favours CD Roda: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Villarreal C	CD Roda
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.1	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/33/11%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.4	2.3 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.40

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.51 ★
2	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 4.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:40 +3’	1.65	3.40	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:11 +91’	1.63	3.51	4.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Villarreal C 1–3–2 CD Roda

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Villarreal C	4-1 HT 1-1	CD Roda
12/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Roda	0-0 HT 0-0	Villarreal C
15/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Roda	0-0 HT 0-0	Villarreal C
04/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	Villarreal C	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Roda
27/01/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Roda	2-0 HT 1-0	Villarreal C
08/09/23 Spain Tercera Group 6	Villarreal C	0-3 HT 0-1	CD Roda

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Torrent C.F.	1	1	0	0	4	0	3
2	Villarreal C	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
3	Atletico Saguntino	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
3	CD Bunol	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
3	CD Roda	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
3	SC Torrevieja CF	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
7	Eldense B	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
7	Crevillente	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
9	Utiel	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
9	UD Vall De Uxo	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
11	Levante B	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
11	Atzeneta	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
11	Hercules II	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
11	Ontinyent	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
15	Athletic Torrellano	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
15	Acero	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
17	Soneja	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
18	Jove Espanol	1	0	0	1	0	4	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Villarreal C	CD Roda
Soneja	3-0 W	0-1 L
Hercules II	4-0 W	1-0 W
Ontinyent	2-0 W	2-1 W
Atletico Saguntino	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Villarreal C (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Villarreal C

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	3-0	1	11	W
17/05	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-3	6	7	L
09/05	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	–	2-0	–	–	W
02/05	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
26/04	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
18/04	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	3-0	4-0	6	2	W
12/04	UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	3-0	2	6	W
02/04	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-0	1	9	W
28/03	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-2	6	6	L
22/03	La Nucia Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-1	2	6	D

CD Roda

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
09/05	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-2	2	1	L
02/05	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
26/04	CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-0	2	9	W
18/04	Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	3-1	8	3	W
12/04	UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
02/04	UD Alzira Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
29/03	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	1-2	0	3	L
25/03	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
21/03	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-1	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Villarreal C vs CD Roda?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Villarreal C win (54%). Probabilities: Villarreal C 54%, draw 27%, CD Roda 19%.

How many goals are expected in Villarreal C vs CD Roda?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Villarreal C 1.54 · CD Roda 0.79), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Villarreal C vs CD Roda?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.