Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 26/09, 12:00

Prediction: Villarreal C vs Levante B

Team pages: Villarreal C · Levante B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Villarreal C1.37

Levante B1.12

1X2

42% 29% 30%

Villarreal C Draw Levante B

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Villarreal C 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Levante B 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Villarreal C 3–1–2 Levante B (6 last)

Levante B1-2Villarreal C
Villarreal C1-3Levante B
Levante B0-1Villarreal C
Villarreal C1-1Levante B
Levante B2-1Villarreal C
Villarreal C2-1Levante B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Villarreal C 1612 · Levante B 1527

	Villarreal C	Draw	Levante B
Our model	41%	29%	29%
Market	42%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villarreal C (rating 1612 vs 1527).
H2H favours Villarreal C: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 12.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Villarreal C	Levante B
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.4	1.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.1	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/33/11%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.2	2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.6 / 0.4	5.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.18
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.20 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:11 +12’	2.15	3.20	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:41 +101’	2.18	3.00	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Villarreal C 3–1–2 Levante B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Spain Tercera - Play-Offs	Levante B	1-2 HT 0-1	Villarreal C
17/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Villarreal C	1-3 HT 0-1	Levante B
02/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Levante B	0-1 HT 0-0	Villarreal C
04/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Villarreal C	1-1 HT 1-0	Levante B
02/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Levante B	2-1 HT 1-1	Villarreal C
20/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	Villarreal C	2-1 HT 0-0	Levante B

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal C	3	3	0	0	6	1	9
2	Torrent C.F.	3	2	1	0	7	2	7
3	UD Vall De Uxo	3	2	1	0	4	1	7
4	CD Bunol	3	1	2	0	3	2	5
5	Eldense B	3	1	2	0	2	1	5
6	Crevillente	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
7	Hercules II	3	1	1	1	6	5	4
8	Levante B	3	1	1	1	3	2	4
8	Acero	3	1	1	1	3	2	4
10	CD Roda	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
11	Soneja	3	1	1	1	4	5	4
12	Ontinyent	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
13	SC Torrevieja CF	3	1	0	2	2	5	3
14	Atletico Saguntino	3	1	0	2	2	3	3
15	Atzeneta	3	0	2	1	2	3	2
16	Utiel	3	0	2	1	1	3	2
17	Jove Espanol	3	0	1	2	3	8	1
18	Athletic Torrellano	3	0	0	3	2	6	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Villarreal C	Levante B
Atletico Saguntino	1-0 W	1-2 L
Soneja	3-0 W	2-2 D
Ontinyent	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Villarreal C (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Villarreal C

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	3	12	W
13/09	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
06/09	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	3-0	1	11	W
17/05	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-3	6	7	L
09/05	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	–	2-0	–	–	W
02/05	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
26/04	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
18/04	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	3-0	4-0	6	2	W
12/04	UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	3-0	2	6	W
02/04	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-0	1	9	W

Levante B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-0	4	9	W
12/09	CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
06/09	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-2	1-2	7	7	L
17/05	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	3-1	0	7	W
09/05	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
02/05	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
26/04	La Nucia Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-3	1	8	L
18/04	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	4-1	8	4	W
11/04	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
04/04	CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6	3-0	4-0	4	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Villarreal C vs Levante B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Villarreal C win (42%). Probabilities: Villarreal C 42%, draw 29%, Levante B 30%.

How many goals are expected in Villarreal C vs Levante B?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Villarreal C 1.37 · Levante B 1.12), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Villarreal C vs Levante B?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.