Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 27/09, 18:00

Prediction: Ontinyent vs CD Bunol

Team pages: Ontinyent · CD Bunol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.02Total

Ontinyent1.13

CD Bunol0.9

1X2

40% 31% 28%

Ontinyent Draw CD Bunol

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Ontinyent 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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CD Bunol 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWLLWWDD

Head-to-head

Ontinyent 4–0 CD Bunol (4 last)

Ontinyent1-0CD Bunol
CD Bunol1-3Ontinyent
Ontinyent2-0CD Bunol
CD Bunol0-1Ontinyent

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ontinyent 1462 · CD Bunol 1487

	Ontinyent	Draw	CD Bunol
Our model	39%	33%	28%
Market	41%	30%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ontinyent: 4-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 13.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ontinyent	CD Bunol
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.5	0.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.8	0 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/17/83%	0/63/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 2.3	2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.5 / 0.5	7.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.00

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.38 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:28 +5’	2.20	3.00	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:13 +88’	2.17	2.87	3.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ontinyent 4–0–0 CD Bunol

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Ontinyent	1-0 HT 1-0	CD Bunol
25/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Bunol	1-3	Ontinyent
29/01/17 Spain Tercera Group 6	Ontinyent	2-0 HT 1-0	CD Bunol
14/09/16 Spain Tercera Group 6	CD Bunol	0-1 HT 0-1	Ontinyent

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal C	3	3	0	0	6	1	9
2	Torrent C.F.	3	2	1	0	7	2	7
3	UD Vall De Uxo	3	2	1	0	4	1	7
4	CD Bunol	3	1	2	0	3	2	5
5	Eldense B	3	1	2	0	2	1	5
6	Crevillente	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
7	Hercules II	3	1	1	1	6	5	4
8	Levante B	3	1	1	1	3	2	4
8	Acero	3	1	1	1	3	2	4
10	CD Roda	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
11	Soneja	3	1	1	1	4	5	4
12	Ontinyent	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
13	SC Torrevieja CF	3	1	0	2	2	5	3
14	Atletico Saguntino	3	1	0	2	2	3	3
15	Atzeneta	3	0	2	1	2	3	2
16	Utiel	3	0	2	1	1	3	2
17	Jove Espanol	3	0	1	2	3	8	1
18	Athletic Torrellano	3	0	0	3	2	6	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ontinyent	CD Bunol
Levante B	0-2 L	0-0 D
CD Roda	1-2 L	0-1 L
Atzeneta	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Bunol (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ontinyent

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-2	2	9	L
13/09	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	1	9	W
06/09	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-2	4	8	L
09/05	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-1	0	3	L
02/05	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/04	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	–	0-1	–	–	L
18/04	UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/04	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	–	0-1	–	–	L
02/04	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-2	4	9	L
29/03	La Nucia Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-2	3	4	L

CD Bunol

WLDWLLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Eldense B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
12/09	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
05/09	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
09/05	UD Alzira Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-0	–	–	W
02/05	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	–	0-3	–	–	L
26/04	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-1	4	9	L
19/04	Recambios Colon Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	3	10	W
11/04	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
04/04	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-3	0-4	3	9	L
29/03	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	2-0	6	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ontinyent vs CD Bunol?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ontinyent win (40%). Probabilities: Ontinyent 40%, draw 31%, CD Bunol 28%.

How many goals are expected in Ontinyent vs CD Bunol?

The model expects 2.02 goals (Ontinyent 1.13 · CD Bunol 0.9), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ontinyent vs CD Bunol?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.