Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 27/09, 18:00
Prediction: Crevillente vs Atletico Saguntino
Team pages: Crevillente · Atletico Saguntino
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Crevillente1.45
Atletico Saguntino1.13
1X2
Crevillente
Draw
Atletico Saguntino
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Crevillente
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Atletico Saguntino
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Crevillente
0–4–2
Atletico Saguntino
(6 last)
- Crevillente0-0Atletico Saguntino
- Atletico Saguntino3-2Crevillente
- Atletico Saguntino0-0Crevillente
- Crevillente2-2Atletico Saguntino
- Crevillente1-4Atletico Saguntino
- Atletico Saguntino0-0Crevillente
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Crevillente 1483 · Atletico Saguntino 1529
| Crevillente | Draw | Atletico Saguntino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Market | 43% | 30% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Saguntino (rating 1483 vs 1529).
- H2H favours Atletico Saguntino: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crevillente | Atletico Saguntino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 44/44/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.8 | 1.6 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crevillente 0–4–2 Atletico Saguntino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Crevillente | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Saguntino |
| 19/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Atletico Saguntino | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Crevillente |
| 27/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Atletico Saguntino | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Crevillente |
| 15/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Crevillente | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Atletico Saguntino |
| 24/11/19 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Crevillente | 1-4 HT 1-0 | Atletico Saguntino |
| 03/02/19 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Atletico Saguntino | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Crevillente |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal C | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Torrent C.F. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | UD Vall De Uxo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | CD Bunol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Eldense B | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Crevillente | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | Hercules II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Levante B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Acero | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | CD Roda | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Soneja | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Ontinyent | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | SC Torrevieja CF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Atletico Saguntino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Atzeneta | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 16 | Utiel | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 17 | Jove Espanol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 18 | Athletic Torrellano | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Crevillente | Atletico Saguntino |
|---|---|---|
| Levante B | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Hercules II | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| UD Castellonense | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Saguntino (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crevillente
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Acero Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Recambios Colon Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 12 | W |
| 26/04 | Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 04/04 | Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 29/03 | UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
Atletico Saguntino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 12 | L |
| 13/09 | Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 06/09 | Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 19/04 | UD Alzira Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 28/03 | Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crevillente vs Atletico Saguntino?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Crevillente win (43%). Probabilities: Crevillente 43%, draw 29%, Atletico Saguntino 28%.
How many goals are expected in Crevillente vs Atletico Saguntino?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Crevillente 1.45 · Atletico Saguntino 1.13), with a 58% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Crevillente vs Atletico Saguntino?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.