Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 04/10, 17:00

Prediction: UD Vall De Uxo vs Atzeneta

Team pages: UD Vall De Uxo · Atzeneta

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.92Total

UD Vall De Uxo1.29

Atzeneta0.63

1X2

52% 30% 18%

UD Vall De Uxo Draw Atzeneta

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

UD Vall De Uxo 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWLLDWWW

Atzeneta 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWLDDD

Head-to-head

UD Vall De Uxo 3–1 Atzeneta (4 last)

UD Vall De Uxo1-0Atzeneta
Atzeneta0-1UD Vall De Uxo
Atzeneta3-2UD Vall De Uxo
UD Vall De Uxo2-1Atzeneta

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UD Vall De Uxo 1575 · Atzeneta 1465

	UD Vall De Uxo	Draw	Atzeneta
Our model	51%	32%	17%
Market	53%	28%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 1.92 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UD Vall De Uxo (rating 1575 vs 1465).
H2H favours UD Vall De Uxo: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UD Vall De Uxo	Atzeneta
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.9	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/44/22%	50/33/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.9	1.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.25

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.70▲	Pinn 2.16 ★
X	3.30 → 3.25▼	Bet365 3.25
2	5.00 → 4.75▼	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:22 +6’	1.65	3.30	5.00
17:54 +8’	1.70▲	3.25▼	4.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:14 +49’	2.16	2.82	3.49

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UD Vall De Uxo 3–0–1 Atzeneta

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	UD Vall De Uxo	1-0 HT 1-0	Atzeneta
01/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Atzeneta	0-1 HT 0-1	UD Vall De Uxo
04/05/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Atzeneta	3-2 HT 0-1	UD Vall De Uxo
21/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	UD Vall De Uxo	2-1 HT 1-0	Atzeneta

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	UD Vall De Uxo	4	3	1	0	7	1	10
2	Villarreal C	4	3	0	1	6	3	9
3	Eldense B	4	2	2	0	5	2	8
4	Torrent C.F.	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
5	Levante B	4	2	1	1	5	2	7
6	Crevillente	4	1	3	0	6	5	6
7	Ontinyent	4	2	0	2	5	4	6
8	SC Torrevieja CF	4	2	0	2	4	5	6
9	Hercules II	4	1	2	1	7	6	5
10	Acero	4	1	2	1	4	3	5
11	CD Roda	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
12	CD Bunol	4	1	2	1	3	5	5
13	Atletico Saguntino	4	1	1	2	4	5	4
14	Soneja	4	1	1	2	4	7	4
15	Atzeneta	4	0	3	1	3	4	3
16	Utiel	4	0	3	1	2	4	3
17	Jove Espanol	4	0	2	2	4	9	2
18	Athletic Torrellano	4	0	0	4	2	9	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UD Vall De Uxo

DWDWLLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	3-0	1	3	W
20/09	CD San Vicente Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	2-1	7	2	W
13/09	SC Torrevieja CF Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
06/09	Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
09/05	Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
02/05	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-2	0-4	3	6	L
26/04	UD Alzira Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
18/04	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/04	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
02/04	Recambios Colon Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-2	3	5	D

Atzeneta

LWDLWWLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/09	Torrent C.F. Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-1	3	8	D
13/09	Eldense B Spain Tercera Group 6	–	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-2	5	6	L
09/05	UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
02/05	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	–	2-1	–	–	W
26/04	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
18/04	La Nucia Spain Tercera Group 6	–	0-0	–	–	D
12/04	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	2-0	3-2	1	9	W
03/04	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	6	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UD Vall De Uxo vs Atzeneta?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UD Vall De Uxo win (52%). Probabilities: UD Vall De Uxo 52%, draw 30%, Atzeneta 18%.

How many goals are expected in UD Vall De Uxo vs Atzeneta?

The model expects 1.92 goals (UD Vall De Uxo 1.29 · Atzeneta 0.63), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in UD Vall De Uxo vs Atzeneta?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.