Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 13/09, 18:30

Prediction: Crevillente vs Soneja

Team pages: Soneja

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

Crevillente1.48

Soneja1.11

1X2

44% 29% 27%

Crevillente Draw Soneja

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Crevillente 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLLWWW

Soneja 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWLWWL

Head-to-head

Crevillente 1–2–1 Soneja (4 last)

Crevillente2-2Soneja
Soneja0-1Crevillente
Crevillente3-3Soneja
Soneja2-1Crevillente

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Crevillente 1504 · Soneja 1492

	Crevillente	Draw	Soneja
Our model	44%	28%	27%
Market	44%	30%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Crevillente	Soneja
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	38/38/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.5	1.3 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	6.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.00

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.02
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.74 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:42 +5’	2.05	3.00	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:42 +65’	1.97	3.02	3.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Crevillente 1–2–1 Soneja

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Crevillente	2-2 HT 0-0	Soneja
12/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Soneja	0-1 HT 0-0	Crevillente
18/01/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Crevillente	3-3 HT 2-0	Soneja
08/09/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	Soneja	2-1	Crevillente

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Torrent C.F.	1	1	0	0	4	0	3
2	Villarreal C	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
3	Atletico Saguntino	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
3	CD Bunol	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
3	CD Roda	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
3	SC Torrevieja CF	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
7	Eldense B	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
7	Crevillente	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
9	Utiel	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
9	UD Vall De Uxo	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
11	Levante B	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
11	Atzeneta	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
11	Hercules II	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
11	Ontinyent	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
15	Athletic Torrellano	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
15	Acero	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
17	Soneja	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
18	Jove Espanol	1	0	0	1	0	4	0

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Crevillente	Soneja
CD Roda	2-0 W	1-0 W
Recambios Colon	2-1 W	2-3 L
Athletic Torrellano	2-4 L	1-0 W
Levante B	1-4 L	2-2 D
Atzeneta	2-3 L	1-0 W
Hercules II	1-1 D	1-2 L
UD Castellonense	0-1 L	0-2 L
Ontinyent	2-0 W	1-1 D
Villarreal C	1-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Crevillente (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Crevillente

LWLDLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Acero Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
09/05	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
02/05	Recambios Colon Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	2-1	4	12	W
26/04	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	2-4	4	6	L
18/04	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-4	2	4	L
12/04	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	0-2	2-3	2	9	L
04/04	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
29/03	UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
22/03	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
15/03	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	1-2	1	5	L

Soneja

DLWDLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-3	2	11	L
09/05	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	–	5-2	–	–	W
02/05	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
25/04	Recambios Colon Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	2-3	1	11	L
19/04	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
15/04	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
11/04	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	2-1	2-2	1	4	D
03/04	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	4	9	W
22/03	UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6	0-2	0-2	2	6	L
15/03	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Crevillente vs Soneja?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Crevillente win (44%). Probabilities: Crevillente 44%, draw 29%, Soneja 27%.

How many goals are expected in Crevillente vs Soneja?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Crevillente 1.48 · Soneja 1.11), with a 59% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Crevillente vs Soneja?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.