Football · Spain Copa Federacion · 12/08, 20:00
Prediction: Navalcarnero vs Siello FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Navalcarnero1.76
Siello FC0.88
1X2
Navalcarnero
Draw
Siello FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Navalcarnero
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Siello FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Navalcarnero 1514 · Siello FC 1550
| Navalcarnero | Draw | Siello FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 26% | 17% |
| Market | 59% | 22% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Navalcarnero | Siello FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 25/38/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.9 | 1.6 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 0.4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Navalcarnero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Alcorcon Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 05/08 | Toledo Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Fuenlabrada Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | CD Colonia Moscardo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Conquense Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/04 | CD Coria Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 05/04 | Rayo Majadahonda Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | CD Quintanar del Rey Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | RSD Alcala Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 15/03 | Elche Ilicitano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Siello FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | RCD Carabanchel Spain Tercera Group 7 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | CD Mostoles URJC Spain Tercera Group 7 |
– | 5-3 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | UD San Sebastián Reyes B Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Racing Madrid Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Las Rozas Spain Tercera Group 7 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/04 | Union Adarve Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 28/03 | SAD Villaverde San Andres Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 22/03 | Atletico Madrid C Spain Tercera Group 7 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/03 | CD Galapagar Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 08/03 | Pozuelo Alarcon Spain Tercera Group 7 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Navalcarnero vs Siello FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Navalcarnero win (58%). Probabilities: Navalcarnero 58%, draw 24%, Siello FC 18%.
How many goals are expected in Navalcarnero vs Siello FC?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Navalcarnero 1.76 · Siello FC 0.88), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Navalcarnero vs Siello FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.