Football · Spain Copa Federacion · 12/08, 20:00

Prediction: CD Colonia Moscardo vs Fuenlabrada

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
CD Colonia Moscardo1.21
Fuenlabrada1.6
1X2
27% 27% 45%
CD Colonia Moscardo Draw Fuenlabrada
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CD Colonia Moscardo 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLLWWLDL
Fuenlabrada 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DLDWDLLWDL
Head-to-head
CD Colonia Moscardo 1–1 Fuenlabrada (2 last)
  • CD Colonia Moscardo3-0Fuenlabrada
  • Fuenlabrada3-0CD Colonia Moscardo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Colonia Moscardo 1474 · Fuenlabrada 1473
CD Colonia MoscardoDrawFuenlabrada
Our model28%27%45%
Market27%28%45%
Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD Colonia MoscardoFuenlabrada
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.30.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.70.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 2.72 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.3 / 0.34.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Colonia Moscardo 101 Fuenlabrada

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/02/26
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
CD Colonia Moscardo3-0
HT 1-0
Fuenlabrada
30/11/25
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
Fuenlabrada3-0
HT 2-0
CD Colonia Moscardo

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD Colonia MoscardoFuenlabrada
Navalcarnero 0-0 D 1-3 L
Real Madrid C 0-1 L 1-1 D
Orihuela 1-0 W 0-0 D
Getafe B 2-0 W 0-0 D
UD San Sebastian Reyes 1-2 L 0-3 L
CD Quintanar del Rey 2-3 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CD Colonia Moscardo (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Colonia Moscardo

LWLLLWWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/05 CF Intercity
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-2 0-2 33 L
26/04 Navalcarnero
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 0-0 35 D
14/04 Real Madrid C
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 0-1 15 L
11/04 Orihuela
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 1-0 17 W
05/04 Getafe B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 2-0 27 W
28/03 UD San Sebastian Reyes
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-1 1-2 17 L
22/03 Las Palmas B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-1 1-2 611 L
15/03 Conquense
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-1 0-3 L
08/03 Rayo Vallecano B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
2-0 4-0 74 W
01/03 CD Quintanar del Rey
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
1-2 2-3 011 L

Fuenlabrada

DLDWDLLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/05 Navalcarnero
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
1-1 1-3 22 L
26/04 Rayo Majadahonda
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 0-0 25 D
19/04 Socuéllamos
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 3-2 27 W
12/04 RSD Alcala
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 0-2 113 L
05/04 CD Quintanar del Rey
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 0-1 45 L
28/03 Real Madrid C
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 1-1 510 D
22/03 Elche Ilicitano
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
2-1 3-2 26 W
15/03 Getafe B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 0-0 25 D
07/03 UD San Sebastian Reyes
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-2 0-3 42 L
28/02 Orihuela
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 0-0 65 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Colonia Moscardo vs Fuenlabrada?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fuenlabrada win (45%). Probabilities: CD Colonia Moscardo 27%, draw 27%, Fuenlabrada 45%.

How many goals are expected in CD Colonia Moscardo vs Fuenlabrada?

The model expects 2.81 goals (CD Colonia Moscardo 1.21 · Fuenlabrada 1.6), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Colonia Moscardo vs Fuenlabrada?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.