Prediction: Sarnese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
Team pages: Sarnese · Sarrabus Ogliastra
- Sarrabus Ogliastra1-2Sarnese
- Sarnese0-2Sarrabus Ogliastra
| Sarnese | Draw | Sarrabus Ogliastra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 25% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sarnese (rating 1557 vs 1464).
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sarnese | Sarrabus Ogliastra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/57/14% | 0/25/75% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.4 | 2.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sarnese 1–0–1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/25 Italy Serie D | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Sarnese |
| 22/12/24 Italy Serie D | Sarnese | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sarrabus Ogliastra |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | ASD Licata | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Igea Virtus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 15 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 9 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 5 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 22 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sarnese | Sarrabus Ogliastra |
|---|---|---|
| Gelbison | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Afragolese 1944 | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sarrabus Ogliastra (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sarnese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | ASD Aranova Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/10 | Citta di Anagni Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Atletico Lodigiani Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Paganese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | Polisportiva Ossese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Gelbison Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/09 | US Venafro Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Afragolese 1944 Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Budoni Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Virtus Francavilla Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
Sarrabus Ogliastra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Gelbison Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/10 | ASD Trastevere Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Afragolese 1944 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/10 | USD Latte Dolce Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Unipomezia Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 20/09 | Cynthialbalonga Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/09 | Certosa Vigor Campagnano Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Anzio Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Monastir Kosmoto Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Olbia Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sarnese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sarnese win (59%). Probabilities: Sarnese 59%, draw 25%, Sarrabus Ogliastra 16%.
How many goals are expected in Sarnese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Sarnese 1.74 · Sarrabus Ogliastra 0.79), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sarnese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.