Football · Italy Serie D · 16/09, 12:00
Prediction: Gelbison vs Budoni
Team pages: Gelbison
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.84Total
Gelbison1.34
Budoni0.5
1X2
Gelbison
Draw
Budoni
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
Gelbison
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Budoni
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gelbison 1522 · Budoni 1500
| Gelbison | Draw | Budoni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 31% | 13% |
| Market | 60% | 25% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gelbison | Budoni | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.8 | 0 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.8 | 2 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASD CastrumFavara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Reggina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Nissa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Sambiase | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Milazzo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Modica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | ASD Ragusa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | ASD Licata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | Enna Calcio | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 | Città di Gela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 | Siracusa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 |
| 18 | Trapani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gelbison
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | ASD Trastevere Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Afragolese 1944 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Città di Gela Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Enna Calcio Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Acireale Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | ASD Sancataldese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | ACR Messina Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Igea Virtus Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/03 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 01/03 | Vigor Lamezia Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Budoni
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Sarnese Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | USD Latte Dolce Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Virtus Flaminia Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Atletico Lodigiani Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Sarrabus Ogliastra Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/03 | Cassino Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 22/03 | Real Monterotondo Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/03 | Montespaccato Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/03 | Olbia Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/02 | US Palmese 1914 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gelbison vs Budoni?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gelbison win (58%). Probabilities: Gelbison 58%, draw 27%, Budoni 14%.
How many goals are expected in Gelbison vs Budoni?
The model expects 1.84 goals (Gelbison 1.34 · Budoni 0.5), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gelbison vs Budoni?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.