Football · Italy Serie D · 12/09, 15:00

Prediction: Monastir Kosmoto vs Atletico Lodigiani

Team pages: Atletico Lodigiani

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Monastir Kosmoto1.3
Atletico Lodigiani1
1X2
43% 29% 28%
Monastir Kosmoto Draw Atletico Lodigiani
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Monastir Kosmoto 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DLWDDDWWWW
Atletico Lodigiani 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LWDLLDLLWL
Head-to-head
Monastir Kosmoto 0–1–1 Atletico Lodigiani (2 last)
  • Atletico Lodigiani2-0Monastir Kosmoto
  • Monastir Kosmoto0-0Atletico Lodigiani
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Monastir Kosmoto 1536 · Atletico Lodigiani 1446
Monastir KosmotoDrawAtletico Lodigiani
Our model42%31%27%
Market43%28%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monastir Kosmoto (rating 1536 vs 1446).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Monastir KosmotoAtletico Lodigiani
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.11 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.31.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/67/0%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.52.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.22.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Monastir Kosmoto 011 Atletico Lodigiani

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/02/26
Italy Serie D
Atletico Lodigiani2-0
HT 2-0
Monastir Kosmoto
19/10/25
Italy Serie D
Monastir Kosmoto0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Lodigiani

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
1 Reggina 1100 503
3 Vibonese 1100 403
4 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 Sambiase 1100 213
8 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 1010 221
8 ASD Ragusa 1010 221
10 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 1001 240
12 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
13 Milazzo 1001 030
14 Enna Calcio 1001 050
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMonastir KosmotoAtletico Lodigiani
ASD Trastevere 1-0 W 1-2 L
US Palmese 1914 2-0 W 0-1 L
Nocerina 1-0 W 0-0 D
Cynthialbalonga 1-1 D 2-3 L
Anzio Calcio 1924 2-2 D 1-1 D
Scafatese 2-4 L 2-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 1 L 0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Monastir Kosmoto (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Monastir Kosmoto

DLWDDDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
16/05 ASD Trastevere
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
02/05 US Palmese 1914
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 63 W
26/04 Nocerina
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 43 W
18/04 Cynthialbalonga
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 34 D
12/04 ASD Trastevere
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-2 32 D
02/04 Anzio Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
2-2 2-2 81 D
29/03 Olbia
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 35 W
22/03 Scafatese
Italy Serie D
2-4 L
15/03 Virtus Flaminia
Italy Serie D
1-1 D

Atletico Lodigiani

LWDLLDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Cynthialbalonga
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-3 53 L
03/05 Cassino
Italy Serie D
2-0 W
26/04 Real Monterotondo
Italy Serie D
0-2 L
19/04 Budoni
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
12/04 Nocerina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 33 D
22/03 US Palmese 1914
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
15/03 ASD Trastevere
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 54 L
01/03 Anzio Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
22/02 Monastir Kosmoto
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-0 32 W
15/02 Scafatese
Italy Serie D
2-2 2-3 62 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Monastir Kosmoto vs Atletico Lodigiani?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Monastir Kosmoto win (43%). Probabilities: Monastir Kosmoto 43%, draw 29%, Atletico Lodigiani 28%.

How many goals are expected in Monastir Kosmoto vs Atletico Lodigiani?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Monastir Kosmoto 1.3 · Atletico Lodigiani 1), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Monastir Kosmoto vs Atletico Lodigiani?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.