Prediction: Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21

Team pages: Burnley U21 · Aston Villa U21

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
Burnley U211.73
Aston Villa U211.68
1X2
39% 23% 37%
Burnley U21 Draw Aston Villa U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Burnley U21 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DLWLDLLLLW
Aston Villa U21 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DWLWDLWLDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Burnley U21 1480 · Aston Villa U21 1485
Burnley U21DrawAston Villa U21
Our model39%25%37%
Market40%22%38%
Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Burnley U21Aston Villa U21
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.81.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 6.32.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.24 / 0.3

Standings · England Premier League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tottenham U21 4310 13710
2 Southampton U21 4310 7210
3 Sunderland U21 5311 151110
4 Man Utd U21 3300 1239
5 Chelsea U21 4301 1389
6 Bournemouth U21 4301 869
7 Nottm Forest U21 4301 779
8 Liverpool U21 4211 847
9 Fulham U21 4211 1297
10 Leeds U21 4211 1197
11 Reading U21 4211 767
12 Norwich U21 4211 657
13 Brentford U21 4202 1086
14 Everton U21 4121 435
15 West Ham U21 4121 555
16 Aston Villa U21 4121 785
17 Stoke U21 4112 754
18 Crystal Palace U21 3111 324
19 Brighton U21 4112 794
20 Derby U21 4112 9124
21 Arsenal U21 5041 694
22 Man City U21 3102 763
23 Burnley U21 4103 893
24 Blackburn U21 3102 473
25 Ipswich U21 3102 6103
26 Birmingham U21 3021 572
27 Middlesbrough U21 4022 7102
28 West Brom U21 3012 8111
29 Leicester U21 3012 171
30 Newcastle U21 3003 190
31 Wolverhampton U21 3003 0100

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBurnley U21Aston Villa U21
Fulham U21 3-4 L 3-3 D
Blackburn U21 0-2 L 2-1 W
Brighton U21 0-2 L 2-1 W
Stoke U21 3-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Aston Villa U21 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Burnley U21

DLWLDLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 Derby U21
England Premier League 2
2-1 4-1 55 W
14/09 Nottm Forest U21
England Premier League 2
0-0 0-1 108 L
28/08 Reading U21
England Premier League 2
1-1 1-3 95 L
21/08 Fulham U21
England Premier League 2
2-0 3-4 33 L
12/04 Blackburn U21
England Premier League 2
0-1 0-2 62 L
23/03 Ipswich U21
England Premier League 2
0-0 0-0 64 D
16/03 Brighton U21
England Premier League 2
0-0 0-2 52 L
09/03 Stoke U21
England Premier League 2
1-0 3-1 127 W
27/02 Fulham U21
England Premier League 2
1-2 1-3 31 L
23/02 Derby U21
England Premier League 2
1-0 1-1 45 D

Aston Villa U21

DWLWDLWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 Middlesbrough U21
England Premier League 2
1-2 2-2 46 D
11/09 Fulham U21
England Premier League 2
0-1 3-3 35 D
28/08 Crystal Palace U21
England Premier League 2
0-0 0-2 61 L
21/08 Brighton U21
England Premier League 2
2-0 2-1 55 W
01/05 Man City U21
England Premier League 2
1-1 2-3 45 L
24/04 Southampton U21
England Premier League 2
1-1 3-3 37 D
17/04 Stoke U21
England Premier League 2
1-0 1-0 54 W
10/04 Middlesbrough U21
England Premier League 2
0-2 0-2 72 L
06/04 Blackburn U21
England Premier League 2
0-1 2-1 64 W
03/04 Brighton U21
England Premier League 2
0-0 0-0 34 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Burnley U21 win (39%). Probabilities: Burnley U21 39%, draw 23%, Aston Villa U21 37%.

How many goals are expected in Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Burnley U21 1.73 · Aston Villa U21 1.68), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.