Football · England Premier League 2 · 25/10, 13:30
Prediction: Middlesbrough U21 vs Tottenham U21
Team pages: Middlesbrough U21 · Tottenham U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.66Total
Middlesbrough U211.87
Tottenham U211.79
1X2
Middlesbrough U21
Draw
Tottenham U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Middlesbrough U21
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Tottenham U21
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Middlesbrough U21
1–2
Tottenham U21
(3 last)
- Tottenham U211-3Middlesbrough U21
- Tottenham U216-1Middlesbrough U21
- Middlesbrough U211-2Tottenham U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Middlesbrough U21 1509 · Tottenham U21 1550
| Middlesbrough U21 | Draw | Tottenham U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 23% | 37% |
| Market | 41% | 22% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tottenham U21 (rating 1509 vs 1550).
- H2H favours Tottenham U21: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Middlesbrough U21 | Tottenham U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.6 | 2.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.9 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Middlesbrough U21 1–0–2 Tottenham U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 England Premier League 2 | Tottenham U21 | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Middlesbrough U21 |
| 29/11/24 England Premier League 2 | Tottenham U21 | 6-1 HT 4-0 | Middlesbrough U21 |
| 17/03/24 England Premier League 2 | Middlesbrough U21 | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Tottenham U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Chelsea U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 13 |
| 3 | Nottm Forest U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 4 | Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Sunderland U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 10 |
| 7 | Norwich U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Fulham U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 10 |
| 9 | Bournemouth U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Reading U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Man Utd U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 9 |
| 12 | Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 13 | Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 8 |
| 14 | West Ham U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 15 | Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 17 | Derby U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 7 |
| 18 | Leeds U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 7 |
| 19 | Man City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 6 |
| 20 | Brentford U21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 6 |
| 20 | Ipswich U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 6 |
| 22 | Stoke U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 4 |
| 23 | Leicester U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| 24 | Arsenal U21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
| 25 | Blackburn U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 26 | Burnley U21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 3 |
| 27 | Wolverhampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 3 |
| 28 | Middlesbrough U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 2 |
| 29 | Birmingham U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 2 |
| 30 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 1 |
| 31 | Newcastle U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Middlesbrough U21 | Tottenham U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea U21 | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Derby U21 | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Tottenham U21 (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Middlesbrough U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Everton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Leeds U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 31/08 | Bournemouth U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Norwich U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/04 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 20/03 | Derby U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 13/03 | Stoke U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 6-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/03 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Tottenham U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Leicester U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Man City U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/09 | Derby U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 24/08 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Brighton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 24/04 | Leicester U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/04 | Blackburn U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 10/04 | Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Middlesbrough U21 vs Tottenham U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Middlesbrough U21 win (40%). Probabilities: Middlesbrough U21 40%, draw 23%, Tottenham U21 37%.
How many goals are expected in Middlesbrough U21 vs Tottenham U21?
The model expects 3.66 goals (Middlesbrough U21 1.87 · Tottenham U21 1.79), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Middlesbrough U21 vs Tottenham U21?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.