Football · England Premier League 2 · 26/10, 20:00
Prediction: Crystal Palace U21 vs Southampton U21
Team pages: Crystal Palace U21 · Southampton U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.62Total
Crystal Palace U211.77
Southampton U211.85
1X2
Crystal Palace U21
Draw
Southampton U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Crystal Palace U21
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Southampton U21
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Crystal Palace U21
1–1–1
Southampton U21
(3 last)
- Crystal Palace U211-1Southampton U21
- Southampton U210-2Crystal Palace U21
- Southampton U214-0Crystal Palace U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Crystal Palace U21 1495 · Southampton U21 1557
| Crystal Palace U21 | Draw | Southampton U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 24% | 40% |
| Market | 37% | 23% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Southampton U21 (rating 1495 vs 1557).
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crystal Palace U21 | Southampton U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.5 | 3.1 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crystal Palace U21 1–1–1 Southampton U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/25 England Premier League 2 | Crystal Palace U21 | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Southampton U21 |
| 25/10/24 England Premier League 2 | Southampton U21 | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Crystal Palace U21 |
| 15/03/24 England Premier League 2 | Southampton U21 | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Crystal Palace U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Chelsea U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 13 |
| 3 | Nottm Forest U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 4 | Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Sunderland U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 10 |
| 7 | Norwich U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Fulham U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 10 |
| 9 | Bournemouth U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Reading U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Man Utd U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 9 |
| 12 | Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 13 | Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 8 |
| 14 | West Ham U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 15 | Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 17 | Derby U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 7 |
| 18 | Leeds U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 7 |
| 19 | Man City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 6 |
| 20 | Brentford U21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 6 |
| 20 | Ipswich U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 6 |
| 22 | Stoke U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 4 |
| 23 | Leicester U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| 24 | Arsenal U21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
| 25 | Blackburn U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 26 | Burnley U21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 3 |
| 27 | Wolverhampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 3 |
| 28 | Middlesbrough U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 2 |
| 29 | Birmingham U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 2 |
| 30 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 1 |
| 31 | Newcastle U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Crystal Palace U21 | Southampton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds U21 | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Aston Villa U21 | 2-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Man Utd U21 | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Nottm Forest U21 | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Wolverhampton U21 | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Southampton U21 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crystal Palace U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Leeds U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Blackburn U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 28/08 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 04/05 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 13/04 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 22/03 | Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 14/03 | Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
Southampton U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Bournemouth U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Everton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/08 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 24/04 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Stoke U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 20/03 | Leeds U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/03 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/03 | Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 27/02 | Everton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crystal Palace U21 vs Southampton U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Southampton U21 win (40%). Probabilities: Crystal Palace U21 37%, draw 23%, Southampton U21 40%.
How many goals are expected in Crystal Palace U21 vs Southampton U21?
The model expects 3.62 goals (Crystal Palace U21 1.77 · Southampton U21 1.85), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace U21 vs Southampton U21?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.