Football · England Premier League 2 · 17/10, 15:00
Prediction: Liverpool U21 vs Reading U21
Team pages: Liverpool U21 · Reading U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
Liverpool U212.18
Reading U211.31
1X2
Liverpool U21
Draw
Reading U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Liverpool U21
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Reading U21
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Liverpool U21
0–2–0
Reading U21
(2 last)
- Reading U211-1Liverpool U21
- Reading U210-0Liverpool U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liverpool U21 1510 · Reading U21 1471
| Liverpool U21 | Draw | Reading U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| Market | 57% | 21% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Liverpool U21 | Reading U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.2 | 2.8 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Liverpool U21 0–2–0 Reading U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/24 England Premier League 2 | Reading U21 | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Liverpool U21 |
| 10/03/24 England Premier League 2 | Reading U21 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Liverpool U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Sunderland U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 10 |
| 4 | Man Utd U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Chelsea U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 9 |
| 6 | Bournemouth U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Nottm Forest U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | Liverpool U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 7 |
| 10 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | Reading U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Norwich U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | Brentford U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
| 14 | Everton U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 15 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 17 | Stoke U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 19 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
| 20 | Derby U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
| 21 | Arsenal U21 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 22 | Man City U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| 23 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| 24 | Blackburn U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 25 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 26 | Birmingham U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| 27 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 2 |
| 28 | West Brom U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 1 |
| 29 | Leicester U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 30 | Newcastle U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolverhampton U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Liverpool U21 | Reading U21 |
|---|---|---|
| West Ham U21 | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Everton U21 | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Wolverhampton U21 | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liverpool U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Brighton U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Leeds U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/08 | Everton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 22/03 | Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/03 | Man City U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/03 | Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
5-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 01/03 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/02 | Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Reading U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Everton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 14/09 | Blackburn U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | Burnley U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 24/08 | Derby U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/04 | Derby U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 4-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 30/03 | Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 20/03 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/03 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/03 | Everton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/03 | Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liverpool U21 vs Reading U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Liverpool U21 win (57%). Probabilities: Liverpool U21 57%, draw 21%, Reading U21 22%.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool U21 vs Reading U21?
The model expects 3.5 goals (Liverpool U21 2.18 · Reading U21 1.31), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Liverpool U21 vs Reading U21?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.