Football · England Premier League 2 · 23/10, 20:00
Prediction: Fulham U21 vs Brighton U21
Team pages: Fulham U21 · Brighton U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.08Total
Fulham U212.11
Brighton U211.97
1X2
Fulham U21
Draw
Brighton U21
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Fulham U21
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Brighton U21
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fulham U21
4–2
Brighton U21
(6 last)
- Brighton U213-4Fulham U21
- Brighton U211-3Fulham U21
- Fulham U213-0Brighton U21
- Fulham U213-2Brighton U21
- Brighton U211-0Fulham U21
- Brighton U211-0Fulham U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fulham U21 1488 · Brighton U21 1555
| Fulham U21 | Draw | Brighton U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 22% | 37% |
| Market | 42% | 21% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brighton U21 (rating 1488 vs 1555).
- H2H favours Fulham U21: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fulham U21 | Brighton U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 2 | 1.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.8 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fulham U21 4–0–2 Brighton U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 England Premier League 2 | Brighton U21 | 3-4 HT 2-1 | Fulham U21 |
| 14/03/25 England Premier League 2 | Brighton U21 | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Fulham U21 |
| 01/12/23 England Premier League 2 | Fulham U21 | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Brighton U21 |
| 05/05/23 England Premier League 2 | Fulham U21 | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Brighton U21 |
| 18/03/23 England Premier League 2 | Brighton U21 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fulham U21 |
| 26/08/16 England Premier League 2 | Brighton U21 | 1-0 | Fulham U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Chelsea U21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 12 |
| 3 | Nottm Forest U21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | Liverpool U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Sunderland U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 10 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | Norwich U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Bournemouth U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Man Utd U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 9 |
| 11 | Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 | Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Derby U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 7 |
| 15 | Reading U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 16 | Leeds U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 7 |
| 17 | Brentford U21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 6 |
| 18 | Brighton U21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 5 |
| 19 | West Ham U21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| 20 | Stoke U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 21 | Arsenal U21 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 22 | Man City U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| 23 | Burnley U21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 3 |
| 24 | Blackburn U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 25 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 26 | Wolverhampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 3 |
| 27 | Middlesbrough U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 2 |
| 28 | Birmingham U21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 2 |
| 29 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 1 |
| 30 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| 31 | Newcastle U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fulham U21 | Brighton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa U21 | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| West Ham U21 | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fulham U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Brentford U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 31/08 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 21/08 | Burnley U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 4-3 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/04 | Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 23/03 | Stoke U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/03 | Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/03 | Brighton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 0 | W |
Brighton U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Bournemouth U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Leicester U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 21/08 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/04 | Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fulham U21 vs Brighton U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fulham U21 win (42%). Probabilities: Fulham U21 42%, draw 22%, Brighton U21 37%.
How many goals are expected in Fulham U21 vs Brighton U21?
The model expects 4.08 goals (Fulham U21 2.11 · Brighton U21 1.97), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Fulham U21 vs Brighton U21?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.