Football · Italy Serie D · 01/11, 14:30

Prediction: Recanatese vs ASD Sporting Trestina

Team pages: Recanatese · ASD Sporting Trestina

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Recanatese1.44
ASD Sporting Trestina1.15
1X2
43% 28% 29%
Recanatese Draw ASD Sporting Trestina
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Recanatese 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDDWDLLLLW
ASD Sporting Trestina 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DLDLLWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Recanatese 1474 · ASD Sporting Trestina 1442
RecanateseDrawASD Sporting Trestina
Our model43%29%29%
Market43%28%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RecanateseASD Sporting Trestina
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.41 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.80.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/20/20%29/43/29%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 2.61 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.43.6 / 0

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 9621 20520
2 Sambiase 9621 13620
3 Vibonese 9531 20818
4 ASD Licata 9522 121417
5 Calcio Avola 1949 9513 121216
6 Milazzo 9513 101016
7 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 9432 15815
8 Igea Virtus 9432 211715
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 8323 111011
10 Città di Gela 9243 1089
11 Nissa FC 9234 11139
12 Siracusa 9432 1388
13 Vigor Lamezia 9225 10178
14 ASD CastrumFavara 9225 10128
15 Modica 8215 7117
16 Trapani 9315 5125
17 ASD Ragusa 9036 7163
18 Enna Calcio 9027 2222

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRecanateseASD Sporting Trestina
Lanciano 1-4 L 0-0 D
Santegidiese 1-1 D 2-1 W
Polisportiva Pietralunghese 0-0 D 0-2 L
FC Forsempronese 2-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Recanatese

WDDWDLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 ASD Angelana 1930
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
18/10 L'Aquila
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-3 07 L
10/10 Notaresco Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 35 L
04/10 Maceratese
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-3 43 L
27/09 Lanciano
Italy Serie D
– 1-4 –– L
20/09 ASD K-Sport Montecchio
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 52 D
16/09 Foligno
Italy Serie D
2-1 4-1 14 W
12/09 Santegidiese
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
06/09 Polisportiva Pietralunghese
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
03/05 FC Forsempronese
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W

ASD Sporting Trestina

DLDLLWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Santegidiese
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-1 34 W
17/10 Polisportiva Pietralunghese
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
11/10 Teramo
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-2 41 L
04/10 U.S. Ancona
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
27/09 Termoli
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 22 W
20/09 ASD Atletico Ascoli
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 35 L
16/09 FC Forsempronese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 35 L
12/09 Lanciano
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 14 D
06/09 Vigor Senigallia
Italy Serie D
2-2 2-5 64 L
03/05 Robur Siena
Italy Serie D
– 4-4 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Recanatese vs ASD Sporting Trestina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Recanatese win (43%). Probabilities: Recanatese 43%, draw 28%, ASD Sporting Trestina 29%.

How many goals are expected in Recanatese vs ASD Sporting Trestina?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Recanatese 1.44 · ASD Sporting Trestina 1.15), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Recanatese vs ASD Sporting Trestina?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.