Football · Italy Serie D · 01/11, 14:30

Prediction: Teramo vs Lanciano

Team pages: Teramo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.49Total
Teramo2.46
Lanciano1.03
1X2
67% 19% 13%
Teramo Draw Lanciano
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Teramo 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WWDWWLWWWW
Lanciano 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLDLWWLWLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Teramo 1576 · Lanciano 1482
TeramoDrawLanciano
Our model68%19%13%
Market67%20%13%
Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Teramo (rating 1576 vs 1482).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TeramoLanciano
Goals for / against (FT)2.7 / 1.41.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.6 / 0.30.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)86/14/0%17/67/17%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.62 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.12 / 0.2

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 9621 20520
2 Sambiase 9621 13620
3 Vibonese 9531 20818
4 ASD Licata 9522 121417
5 Calcio Avola 1949 9513 121216
6 Milazzo 9513 101016
7 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 9432 15815
8 Igea Virtus 9432 211715
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 8323 111011
10 Città di Gela 9243 1089
11 Nissa FC 9234 11139
12 Siracusa 9432 1388
13 Vigor Lamezia 9225 10178
14 ASD CastrumFavara 9225 10128
15 Modica 8215 7117
16 Trapani 9315 5125
17 ASD Ragusa 9036 7163
18 Enna Calcio 9027 2222

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTeramoLanciano
FC Forsempronese 4-2 W 4-2 W
Termoli 1-0 W 0-2 L
ASD Sporting Trestina 2-0 W 0-0 D
Vigor Senigallia 6-4 W 1-2 L
Notaresco Calcio 1924 2-2 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Teramo (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Teramo

WWDWWLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 FC Forsempronese
Italy Serie D
– 4-2 –– W
18/10 Termoli
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 14 W
11/10 ASD Sporting Trestina
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-0 61 W
04/10 Vigor Senigallia
Italy Serie D
3-2 6-4 54 W
27/09 L'Aquila
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
20/09 Giulianova Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-2 73 W
16/09 ASD Angelana 1930
Italy Serie D
2-0 3-1 82 W
12/09 Notaresco Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-2 49 D
06/09 Maceratese
Italy Serie D
– 3-0 –– W
17/05 Notaresco Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
2-0 3-1 13 W

Lanciano

LLDLWWLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Notaresco Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 52 D
18/10 ASD Atletico Ascoli
Italy Serie D
1-2 1-5 12 L
11/10 ASD K-Sport Montecchio
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-1 33 W
04/10 Termoli
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
27/09 Recanatese
Italy Serie D
– 4-1 –– W
20/09 FC Forsempronese
Italy Serie D
– 4-2 –– W
16/09 Vigor Senigallia
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
12/09 ASD Sporting Trestina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 54 D
06/09 Foligno
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-2 21 L
05/09 Foligno
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-2 21 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Teramo vs Lanciano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Teramo win (67%). Probabilities: Teramo 67%, draw 19%, Lanciano 13%.

How many goals are expected in Teramo vs Lanciano?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Teramo 2.46 · Lanciano 1.03), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Teramo vs Lanciano?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.