Football · Italy Serie D · 16/09, 15:00

Prediction: Recanatese vs Foligno

Team pages: Recanatese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
Recanatese1.02
Foligno1.07
1X2
33% 30% 36%
Recanatese Draw Foligno
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Recanatese 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLDLWLWDWD
Foligno 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWDLLDWWWW
Head-to-head
Recanatese 0–1–0 Foligno (1 last)
  • Recanatese1-1Foligno
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Recanatese 1503 · Foligno 1534
RecanateseDrawFoligno
Our model32%33%35%
Market35%28%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RecanateseFoligno
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.11 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.40 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/40/60%0/86/14%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.43 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.62.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Recanatese 010 Foligno

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
30/08/26
Italy Serie D Cup
Recanatese1-1
HT 0-1
Foligno

Standings · Italy Serie D

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
2 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
2 Reggina 1100 503
4 Vibonese 1100 403
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 2101 543
8 Sambiase 1100 213
9 Milazzo 2101 343
10 Modica 1010 221
11 ASD Ragusa 2011 351
12 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
13 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
15 Enna Calcio 2002 080
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Recanatese

LLDLWLWDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Polisportiva Pietralunghese
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
03/05 FC Forsempronese
Italy Serie D
2-0 W
26/04 Teramo
Italy Serie D
2-2 D
19/04 ASD Sora Calcio 1907
Italy Serie D
2-0 W
12/04 Maceratese
Italy Serie D
1-2 L
02/04 Vigor Senigallia
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 74 W
29/03 Chieti
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-2 74 L
22/03 Giulianova Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 44 D
15/03 Castelfidardo
Italy Serie D
1-2 1-2 14 L
01/03 Unipomezia
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-2 86 L

Foligno

LWDLLDWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Polisportiva Pietralunghese
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 65 W
06/09 Lanciano
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-1 81 W
05/09 Lanciano
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-1 81 W
03/05 ASD Cannara
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
26/04 ASD Seravezza Calcio
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 02 D
19/04 San Donato Tavarnelle
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 15 L
12/04 Prato
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 44 L
02/04 GSD Ghiviborgo VDS
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 23 D
29/03 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italy Serie D
2-0 W
22/03 Robur Siena
Italy Serie D
2-3 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Recanatese vs Foligno?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Foligno win (36%). Probabilities: Recanatese 33%, draw 30%, Foligno 36%.

How many goals are expected in Recanatese vs Foligno?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Recanatese 1.02 · Foligno 1.07), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Recanatese vs Foligno?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.