Football · Italy Serie D · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: Giulianova Calcio 1924 vs FC Forsempronese

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

Giulianova Calcio 19241.35

FC Forsempronese0.95

1X2

45% 30% 25%

Giulianova Calcio 1924 Draw FC Forsempronese

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Giulianova Calcio 1924 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLDWDLDW

FC Forsempronese 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWDWLLDWL

Head-to-head

Giulianova Calcio 1924 1–1–0 FC Forsempronese (2 last)

Giulianova Calcio 19243-0FC Forsempronese
FC Forsempronese1-1Giulianova Calcio 1924

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giulianova Calcio 1924 1517 · FC Forsempronese 1457

	Giulianova Calcio 1924	Draw	FC Forsempronese
Our model	45%	30%	25%
Market	45%	30%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giulianova Calcio 1924 (rating 1517 vs 1457).
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Giulianova Calcio 1924	FC Forsempronese
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.7	0.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.4	0 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.2	2.7 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.00

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.75

2 (+0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 2.00▲	Bet365 2.00
X	2.90 → 3.00▲	Bet365 3.00
2	3.75 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:56 +16’	1.95	2.90	3.75
19:33 +4’	2.00▲	3.00▲	3.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Giulianova Calcio 1924 1–1–0 FC Forsempronese

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/26 Italy Serie D	Giulianova Calcio 1924	3-0 HT 1-0	FC Forsempronese
24/09/25 Italy Serie D	FC Forsempronese	1-1 HT 0-0	Giulianova Calcio 1924

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	Pts
1	Sambiase	0
1	ASD CastrumFavara	0
1	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	0
1	ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio	0
1	ASD Ragusa	0
1	Calcio Avola 1949	0
1	Enna Calcio	0
1	Igea Virtus	0
1	ASD Licata	0
1	Reggina	0
1	Milazzo	0
1	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	0
1	Nissa FC	0
1	Vibonese	0
1	Vigor Lamezia	0
16	Città di Gela	-1
17	Trapani	-5
18	Siracusa	-7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Giulianova Calcio 1924	FC Forsempronese
AS Ostia Mare	4-0 W	0-1 L
Castelfidardo	0-0 D	3-1 W
ASD Atletico Ascoli	1-0 W	1-1 D
Recanatese	0-0 D	0-2 L
U.S. Ancona	1-2 L	1-2 L
San Marino Calcio	2-1 W	0-3 L
L'Aquila	2-2 D	1-0 W
Termoli	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Giulianova Calcio 1924 (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giulianova Calcio 1924

WDWLDWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/05	AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie D	–	4-0	–	–	W
26/04	Maceratese Italy Serie D	0-0	1-1	5	0	D
19/04	Chieti Italy Serie D	0-1	0-1	4	0	L
12/04	Castelfidardo Italy Serie D	–	0-0	–	–	D
29/03	ASD Atletico Ascoli Italy Serie D	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
22/03	Recanatese Italy Serie D	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
15/03	U.S. Ancona Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L
01/03	San Marino Calcio Italy Serie D	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/02	L'Aquila Italy Serie D	0-1	2-2	0	3	D
15/02	Termoli Italy Serie D	–	1-0	–	–	W

FC Forsempronese

LDWDWLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/05	Recanatese Italy Serie D	–	0-2	–	–	L
26/04	Castelfidardo Italy Serie D	–	3-1	–	–	W
19/04	ASD Atletico Ascoli Italy Serie D	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
12/04	U.S. Ancona Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L
02/04	San Marino Calcio Italy Serie D	0-1	0-3	7	6	L
29/03	L'Aquila Italy Serie D	–	1-0	–	–	W
22/03	Termoli Italy Serie D	–	0-0	–	–	D
15/03	Sammaurese Italy Serie D	–	2-1	–	–	W
01/03	Notaresco Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
22/02	AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie D	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giulianova Calcio 1924 vs FC Forsempronese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Giulianova Calcio 1924 win (45%). Probabilities: Giulianova Calcio 1924 45%, draw 30%, FC Forsempronese 25%.

How many goals are expected in Giulianova Calcio 1924 vs FC Forsempronese?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Giulianova Calcio 1924 1.35 · FC Forsempronese 0.95), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Giulianova Calcio 1924 vs FC Forsempronese?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.