Football · Italy Serie D · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: ASD Sporting Trestina vs Vigor Senigallia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
ASD Sporting Trestina1.39
Vigor Senigallia1.3
1X2
38% 29% 33%
ASD Sporting Trestina Draw Vigor Senigallia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Sporting Trestina 3-6-1 (W-D-L)
WWDWDDDDLD
Vigor Senigallia 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WDDWLLDWLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASD Sporting Trestina 1496 · Vigor Senigallia 1490
ASD Sporting TrestinaDrawVigor Senigallia
Our model38%28%34%
Market37%30%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ASD Sporting TrestinaVigor Senigallia
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.22.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 00.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 2.51.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 05.3 / 0.5

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Sambiase 000 000
1 ASD CastrumFavara 000 000
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 000 000
1 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 000 000
1 ASD Ragusa 000 000
1 Calcio Avola 1949 000 000
1 Enna Calcio 000 000
1 Igea Virtus 000 000
1 ASD Licata 000 000
1 Reggina 000 000
1 Milazzo 000 000
1 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 000 000
1 Nissa FC 000 000
1 Vibonese 000 000
1 Vigor Lamezia 000 000
16 Città di Gela 000 00-1
17 Trapani 000 00-5
18 Siracusa 000 00-7

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Sporting Trestina

WWDWDDDDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/05 Robur Siena
Italy Serie D
4-4 D
26/04 Prato
Italy Serie D
0-2 L
19/04 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 45 D
12/04 Gavorrano
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 23 D
03/04 ASD Terranuova Traiana
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 44 D
28/03 Scandicci
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 12 D
22/03 Poggibonsi
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
15/03 Orvietana
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
01/03 ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 15 W
15/02 Camaiore
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-1 36 W

Vigor Senigallia

WDDWLLDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/05 Unipomezia
Italy Serie D
3-3 D
26/04 Chieti
Italy Serie D
2-3 L
19/04 Castelfidardo
Italy Serie D
3-1 W
12/04 ASD Atletico Ascoli
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 85 D
02/04 Recanatese
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 44 L
29/03 U.S. Ancona
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 410 L
22/03 San Marino Calcio
Italy Serie D
4-1 W
15/03 L'Aquila
Italy Serie D
2-2 D
01/03 Termoli
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
22/02 Sammaurese
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-1 24 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Sporting Trestina vs Vigor Senigallia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Sporting Trestina win (38%). Probabilities: ASD Sporting Trestina 38%, draw 29%, Vigor Senigallia 33%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Sporting Trestina vs Vigor Senigallia?

The model expects 2.68 goals (ASD Sporting Trestina 1.39 · Vigor Senigallia 1.3), with a 60% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Sporting Trestina vs Vigor Senigallia?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.