Football · Italy Serie D · 27/09, 15:00

Prediction: Giulianova Calcio 1924 vs ASD Atletico Ascoli

Team pages: Giulianova Calcio 1924 · ASD Atletico Ascoli

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.99Total

Giulianova Calcio 19241.02

ASD Atletico Ascoli0.96

1X2

36% 31% 33%

Giulianova Calcio 1924 Draw ASD Atletico Ascoli

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Giulianova Calcio 1924 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLDWLLDL

ASD Atletico Ascoli 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDLDLWDW

Head-to-head

Giulianova Calcio 1924 1–1–0 ASD Atletico Ascoli (2 last)

Giulianova Calcio 19241-0ASD Atletico Ascoli
ASD Atletico Ascoli0-0Giulianova Calcio 1924

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giulianova Calcio 1924 1460 · ASD Atletico Ascoli 1489

	Giulianova Calcio 1924	Draw	ASD Atletico Ascoli
Our model	35%	34%	32%
Market	37%	29%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 1.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Giulianova Calcio 1924	ASD Atletico Ascoli
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/57/43%	29/57/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.4	2.8 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.10

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
16:39 +16’	2.40	3.10	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Giulianova Calcio 1924 1–1–0 ASD Atletico Ascoli

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Italy Serie D	Giulianova Calcio 1924	1-0 HT 0-0	ASD Atletico Ascoli
16/11/25 Italy Serie D	ASD Atletico Ascoli	0-0 HT 0-0	Giulianova Calcio 1924

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Reggina	4	4	0	0	13	0	12
2	Igea Virtus	4	3	1	0	13	8	10
3	Sambiase	4	3	1	0	5	2	10
4	Vibonese	4	2	1	1	11	5	7
5	Nissa FC	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
6	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	4	1	3	0	7	2	6
7	Milazzo	4	2	0	2	4	5	6
8	Calcio Avola 1949	4	2	0	2	7	10	6
9	ASD Licata	4	1	2	1	3	7	5
10	Modica	4	1	1	2	3	4	4
11	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	4	1	1	2	6	8	4
12	ASD CastrumFavara	4	1	1	2	5	4	4
13	Città di Gela	4	1	1	2	4	5	3
14	ASD Ragusa	4	0	2	2	4	7	2
15	Vigor Lamezia	4	0	2	2	4	9	2
16	Siracusa	4	2	2	0	7	4	1
17	Enna Calcio	4	0	1	3	0	9	1
18	Trapani	4	0	0	4	1	10	-5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Giulianova Calcio 1924	ASD Atletico Ascoli
Teramo	2-3 L	1-1 D
Vigor Senigallia	0-1 L	2-2 D
FC Forsempronese	1-2 L	1-1 D
Maceratese	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: ASD Atletico Ascoli (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giulianova Calcio 1924

DWDLDWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Teramo Italy Serie D	0-1	2-3	3	3	L
16/09	Termoli Italy Serie D	–	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	Vigor Senigallia Italy Serie D	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
06/09	FC Forsempronese Italy Serie D	1-1	1-2	8	3	L
03/05	AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie D	–	4-0	–	–	W
26/04	Maceratese Italy Serie D	0-0	1-1	5	0	D
19/04	Chieti Italy Serie D	0-1	0-1	4	0	L
12/04	Castelfidardo Italy Serie D	–	0-0	–	–	D
29/03	ASD Atletico Ascoli Italy Serie D	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
22/03	Recanatese Italy Serie D	0-0	0-0	6	4	D

ASD Atletico Ascoli

LWDDLDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	ASD Sporting Trestina Italy Serie D	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
16/09	L'Aquila Italy Serie D	–	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	Maceratese Italy Serie D	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
06/09	Angelana 1930 Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L
03/05	Teramo Italy Serie D	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
26/04	Sammaurese Italy Serie D	–	0-2	–	–	L
19/04	FC Forsempronese Italy Serie D	0-0	1-1	10	6	D
12/04	Vigor Senigallia Italy Serie D	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
02/04	ASD Sora Calcio 1907 Italy Serie D	0-0	1-0	13	5	W
29/03	Giulianova Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D	0-0	0-1	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giulianova Calcio 1924 vs ASD Atletico Ascoli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Giulianova Calcio 1924 win (36%). Probabilities: Giulianova Calcio 1924 36%, draw 31%, ASD Atletico Ascoli 33%.

How many goals are expected in Giulianova Calcio 1924 vs ASD Atletico Ascoli?

The model expects 1.99 goals (Giulianova Calcio 1924 1.02 · ASD Atletico Ascoli 0.96), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Giulianova Calcio 1924 vs ASD Atletico Ascoli?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.