Football · Italy Serie D · 27/09, 15:00

Prediction: ASD Sporting Trestina vs Termoli

Team pages: ASD Sporting Trestina

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.94Total
ASD Sporting Trestina1.05
Termoli0.89
1X2
38% 32% 30%
ASD Sporting Trestina Draw Termoli
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Sporting Trestina 0-6-4 (W-D-L)
DDDDLDLDLL
Termoli 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDWLLDLWDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASD Sporting Trestina 1424 · Termoli 1482
ASD Sporting TrestinaDrawTermoli
Our model37%34%29%
Market39%30%31%
Estimated total (ours) 1.94 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Termoli (rating 1424 vs 1482).
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ASD Sporting TrestinaTermoli
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.60.6 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)13/75/13%0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 31.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 03 / 0

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 4400 13012
2 Igea Virtus 4310 13810
3 Sambiase 4310 5210
4 Vibonese 4211 1157
5 Nissa FC 4211 867
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 4130 726
7 Milazzo 4202 456
8 Calcio Avola 1949 4202 7106
9 ASD Licata 4121 375
10 Modica 4112 344
11 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 4112 684
12 ASD CastrumFavara 4112 544
13 Città di Gela 4112 453
14 ASD Ragusa 4022 472
15 Vigor Lamezia 4022 492
16 Siracusa 4220 741
17 Enna Calcio 4013 091
18 Trapani 4004 110-5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Sporting Trestina

DDDDLDLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 ASD Atletico Ascoli
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 35 L
16/09 FC Forsempronese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 35 L
12/09 Lanciano
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 14 D
06/09 Vigor Senigallia
Italy Serie D
2-2 2-5 64 L
03/05 Robur Siena
Italy Serie D
– 4-4 –– D
26/04 Prato
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
19/04 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 45 D
12/04 Gavorrano
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 23 D
03/04 ASD Terranuova Traiana
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 44 D
28/03 Scandicci
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 12 D

Termoli

WDWLLDLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Vigor Senigallia
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
16/09 Giulianova Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
13/09 ASD Angelana 1930
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
06/09 L'Aquila
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
03/05 L'Aquila
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
26/04 AS Ostia Mare
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
19/04 Notaresco Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
15/04 Sammaurese
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 43 W
12/04 Teramo
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 43 D
29/03 ASD Sora Calcio 1907
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Sporting Trestina vs Termoli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Sporting Trestina win (38%). Probabilities: ASD Sporting Trestina 38%, draw 32%, Termoli 30%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Sporting Trestina vs Termoli?

The model expects 1.94 goals (ASD Sporting Trestina 1.05 · Termoli 0.89), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Sporting Trestina vs Termoli?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.