Prediction: Maceratese vs U.S. Ancona
Team pages: Maceratese · U.S. Ancona
- U.S. Ancona4-0Maceratese
- Maceratese1-5U.S. Ancona
- U.S. Ancona0-1Maceratese
- U.S. Ancona2-1Maceratese
- Maceratese0-0U.S. Ancona
- Maceratese1-1U.S. Ancona
| Maceratese | Draw | U.S. Ancona | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 27% | 53% |
| Market | 20% | 26% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours U.S. Ancona (rating 1426 vs 1581).
- H2H favours U.S. Ancona: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maceratese | U.S. Ancona | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/50/33% | 67/17/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3 | 3.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 6.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maceratese 1–2–3 U.S. Ancona
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Italy Serie D | U.S. Ancona | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Maceratese |
| 26/10/25 Italy Serie D | Maceratese | 1-5 | U.S. Ancona |
| 29/01/17 Italy Serie C Group B | U.S. Ancona | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Maceratese |
| 22/11/16 Italy Serie C Cup | U.S. Ancona | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Maceratese |
| 13/09/16 Italy Serie C Group B | Maceratese | 0-0 HT 0-0 | U.S. Ancona |
| 21/02/16 Italy Serie C Group B | Maceratese | 1-1 HT 1-1 | U.S. Ancona |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASD CastrumFavara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Reggina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Nissa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Sambiase | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Milazzo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Modica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | ASD Ragusa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | ASD Licata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | Enna Calcio | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 | Città di Gela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 | Siracusa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 |
| 18 | Trapani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -5 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maceratese | U.S. Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Teramo | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Giulianova Calcio 1924 | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: U.S. Ancona (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maceratese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | ASD Atletico Ascoli Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Teramo Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Chieti Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Giulianova Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 19/04 | Unipomezia Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Recanatese Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/03 | San Marino Calcio Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 22/03 | ASD Atletico Ascoli Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 15/03 | Termoli Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/03 | U.S. Ancona Italy Serie D |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
U.S. Ancona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Notaresco Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Notaresco Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | L'Aquila Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Sammaurese Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | FC Forsempronese Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/04 | Teramo Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 29/03 | Vigor Senigallia Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 22/03 | ASD Sora Calcio 1907 Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 15/03 | Giulianova Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/03 | Maceratese Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maceratese vs U.S. Ancona?
According to our model, the most likely result is an U.S. Ancona win (54%). Probabilities: Maceratese 20%, draw 27%, U.S. Ancona 54%.
How many goals are expected in Maceratese vs U.S. Ancona?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Maceratese 0.89 · U.S. Ancona 1.61), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Maceratese vs U.S. Ancona?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.