Football · Italy Serie D · 13/09, 15:00

Prediction: ASD Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese

Team pages: Maceratese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
ASD Atletico Ascoli1.63
Maceratese0.98
1X2
52% 27% 22%
ASD Atletico Ascoli Draw Maceratese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Atletico Ascoli 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WDWLWDDLDL
Maceratese 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLLLWWLDLL
Head-to-head
ASD Atletico Ascoli 2–1 Maceratese (3 last)
  • ASD Atletico Ascoli2-0Maceratese
  • Maceratese3-1ASD Atletico Ascoli
  • ASD Atletico Ascoli5-1Maceratese
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASD Atletico Ascoli 1479 · Maceratese 1459
ASD Atletico AscoliDrawMaceratese
Our model51%27%21%
Market52%26%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours ASD Atletico Ascoli: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ASD Atletico AscoliMaceratese
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.10.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)14/71/14%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 6.71 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 02.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Atletico Ascoli 201 Maceratese

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/03/26
Italy Serie D
ASD Atletico Ascoli2-0
HT 0-0
Maceratese
09/11/25
Italy Serie D
Maceratese3-1ASD Atletico Ascoli
31/08/25
Italy Serie D Cup
ASD Atletico Ascoli5-1
HT 0-0
Maceratese

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
1 Reggina 1100 503
3 Vibonese 1100 403
4 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 Sambiase 1100 213
8 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 1010 221
8 ASD Ragusa 1010 221
10 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 1001 240
12 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
13 Milazzo 1001 030
14 Enna Calcio 1001 050
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentASD Atletico AscoliMaceratese
Teramo 1-1 D 0-3 L
Giulianova Calcio 1924 0-1 L 1-1 D
Unipomezia 1-1 D 0-3 L
Chieti 3-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: ASD Atletico Ascoli (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Atletico Ascoli

WDWLWDDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Angelana 1930
Italy Serie D
1-2 L
03/05 Teramo
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 56 D
26/04 Sammaurese
Italy Serie D
0-2 L
19/04 FC Forsempronese
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 106 D
12/04 Vigor Senigallia
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 45 D
02/04 ASD Sora Calcio 1907
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 135 W
29/03 Giulianova Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 34 L
22/03 Maceratese
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 102 W
15/03 Unipomezia
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
01/03 Chieti
Italy Serie D
2-1 3-1 24 W

Maceratese

WLLLWWLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Teramo
Italy Serie D
0-3 L
03/05 Chieti
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 15 L
26/04 Giulianova Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 40 D
19/04 Unipomezia
Italy Serie D
0-3 L
12/04 Recanatese
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
29/03 San Marino Calcio
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-0 41 W
22/03 ASD Atletico Ascoli
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 22 L
15/03 Termoli
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
01/03 U.S. Ancona
Italy Serie D
0-3 0-4 43 L
22/02 Notaresco Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
2-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Atletico Ascoli win (52%). Probabilities: ASD Atletico Ascoli 52%, draw 27%, Maceratese 22%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese?

The model expects 2.61 goals (ASD Atletico Ascoli 1.63 · Maceratese 0.98), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.