Football · Italy Serie D · 01/11, 14:30

Prediction: USD Casatese vs Pro Sesto

Team pages: USD Casatese · Pro Sesto

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
USD Casatese1.37
Pro Sesto1.46
1X2
34% 28% 38%
USD Casatese Draw Pro Sesto
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
USD Casatese 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DWDLWWLWLL
Pro Sesto 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LLWWWWDDDL
Head-to-head
USD Casatese 1–2 Pro Sesto (3 last)
  • USD Casatese2-1Pro Sesto
  • Pro Sesto3-1USD Casatese
  • Pro Sesto3-1USD Casatese
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USD Casatese 1485 · Pro Sesto 1519
USD CasateseDrawPro Sesto
Our model34%27%38%
Market34%28%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Pro Sesto: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

USD CasatesePro Sesto
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.61.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.71.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/71/29%43/43/14%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.71.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.73.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · USD Casatese 1–0–2 Pro Sesto

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/01/25
Italy Serie D
USD Casatese2-1
HT 0-0
Pro Sesto
08/09/24
Italy Serie D
Pro Sesto3-1
HT 1-0
USD Casatese
11/08/22
Europe Friendlies
Pro Sesto3-1
HT 1-0
USD Casatese

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 9621 20520
2 Sambiase 9621 13620
3 Vibonese 9531 20818
4 ASD Licata 9522 121417
5 Calcio Avola 1949 9513 121216
6 Milazzo 9513 101016
7 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 9432 15815
8 Igea Virtus 9432 211715
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 8323 111011
10 Città di Gela 9243 1089
11 Nissa FC 9234 11139
12 Siracusa 9432 1388
13 Vigor Lamezia 9225 10178
14 ASD CastrumFavara 9225 10128
15 Modica 8215 7117
16 Trapani 9315 5125
17 ASD Ragusa 9036 7163
18 Enna Calcio 9027 2222

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUSD CasatesePro Sesto
ASD Varesina 4-2 W 0-0 D
Correggese 3-1 W 0-1 L
A.C.D. Sant'Angelo 1-2 L 1-2 L
Solbiatese Calcio 1911 0-0 D 1-1 D
Arconatese 2-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: USD Casatese (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USD Casatese

DWDLWWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Pavia
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-3 –– L
18/10 Pro Patria
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
11/10 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 06 W
04/10 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-3 64 L
27/09 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
– 4-2 –– W
20/09 Correggese
Italy Serie D
0-0 3-1 54 W
16/09 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 37 L
12/09 Solbiatese Calcio 1911
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 52 D
06/09 Arconatese
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
17/05 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 36 D

Pro Sesto

LLWWWWDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
18/10 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 41 D
11/10 Solbiatese Calcio 1911
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 64 D
04/10 Arconatese
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
27/09 Oltrepò
Italy Serie D
5-0 6-1 34 W
20/09 A.C. Crema 1908
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-0 22 W
16/09 Pontedera
Italy Serie D
2-0 3-0 83 W
12/09 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 63 W
06/09 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
1-2 2-3 45 L
03/05 Correggese
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USD Casatese vs Pro Sesto?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pro Sesto win (38%). Probabilities: USD Casatese 34%, draw 28%, Pro Sesto 38%.

How many goals are expected in USD Casatese vs Pro Sesto?

The model expects 2.83 goals (USD Casatese 1.37 · Pro Sesto 1.46), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in USD Casatese vs Pro Sesto?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.