Football · Italy Serie D · 01/11, 14:30

Prediction: Correggese vs Tropical Coriano

Team pages: Correggese · Tropical Coriano

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.99Total
Correggese1.24
Tropical Coriano0.74
1X2
48% 30% 22%
Correggese Draw Tropical Coriano
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Correggese 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWDWLWWLLD
Tropical Coriano 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DDLLWDLLLL
Head-to-head
Correggese 2–0 Tropical Coriano (2 last)
  • Correggese1-0Tropical Coriano
  • Tropical Coriano0-1Correggese
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Correggese 1504 · Tropical Coriano 1426
CorreggeseDrawTropical Coriano
Our model47%32%21%
Market49%28%23%
Estimated total (ours) 1.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Correggese (rating 1504 vs 1426).
  • H2H favours Correggese: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CorreggeseTropical Coriano
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 10.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%25/25/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.83.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 06.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Correggese 2–0–0 Tropical Coriano

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/01/26
Italy Serie D
Correggese1-0
HT 0-0
Tropical Coriano
14/09/25
Italy Serie D
Tropical Coriano0-1
HT 0-0
Correggese

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 9621 20520
2 Sambiase 9621 13620
3 Vibonese 9531 20818
4 ASD Licata 9522 121417
5 Calcio Avola 1949 9513 121216
6 Milazzo 9513 101016
7 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 9432 15815
8 Igea Virtus 9432 211715
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 8323 111011
10 Città di Gela 9243 1089
11 Nissa FC 9234 11139
12 Siracusa 9432 1388
13 Vigor Lamezia 9225 10178
14 ASD CastrumFavara 9225 10128
15 Modica 8215 7117
16 Trapani 9315 5125
17 ASD Ragusa 9036 7163
18 Enna Calcio 9027 2222

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCorreggeseTropical Coriano
Cittadella Vis Modena 1-0 W 0-1 L
Arconatese 1-1 D 1-2 L
A.C. Crema 1908 0-0 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Correggese (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Correggese

DWDWLWWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Pro Patria
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
18/10 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
11/10 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 84 L
04/10 Pavia
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-1 44 W
27/09 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 53 W
20/09 USD Casatese
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-3 24 L
16/09 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 104 W
12/09 Arconatese
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
03/05 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
26/04 A.C. Crema 1908
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D

Tropical Coriano

DDLLWDLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Arconatese
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 98 L
21/10 Solbiatese Calcio 1911
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 95 L
18/10 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
14/10 Pontedera
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 78 L
11/10 A.C. Crema 1908
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 67 D
20/09 Oltrepò
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 44 W
16/09 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-2 48 L
12/09 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 23 L
06/09 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 67 D
03/05 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Correggese vs Tropical Coriano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Correggese win (48%). Probabilities: Correggese 48%, draw 30%, Tropical Coriano 22%.

How many goals are expected in Correggese vs Tropical Coriano?

The model expects 1.99 goals (Correggese 1.24 · Tropical Coriano 0.74), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Correggese vs Tropical Coriano?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.