Prediction: Correggese vs Tropical Coriano
Team pages: Correggese · Tropical Coriano
- Correggese1-0Tropical Coriano
- Tropical Coriano0-1Correggese
| Correggese | Draw | Tropical Coriano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 32% | 21% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Correggese (rating 1504 vs 1426).
- H2H favours Correggese: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Correggese | Tropical Coriano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 25/25/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.8 | 3.4 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 6.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Correggese 2–0–0 Tropical Coriano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/26 Italy Serie D | Correggese | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tropical Coriano |
| 14/09/25 Italy Serie D | Tropical Coriano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Correggese |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | ASD Licata | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Igea Virtus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 15 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 9 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 5 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 22 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Correggese | Tropical Coriano |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella Vis Modena | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Arconatese | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| A.C. Crema 1908 | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Correggese (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Correggese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Pro Patria Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | USD Castellanzese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | Pistoiese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Pavia Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Cittadella Vis Modena Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | USD Casatese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | ASD Varesina Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Arconatese Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Pro Sesto Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | A.C. Crema 1908 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Tropical Coriano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Arconatese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 21/10 | Solbiatese Calcio 1911 Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | A.C.D. Sant'Angelo Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/10 | Pontedera Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 11/10 | A.C. Crema 1908 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | Oltrepò Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/09 | Lentigione Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 12/09 | Cittadella Vis Modena Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Citta di Varese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Correggese vs Tropical Coriano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Correggese win (48%). Probabilities: Correggese 48%, draw 30%, Tropical Coriano 22%.
How many goals are expected in Correggese vs Tropical Coriano?
The model expects 1.99 goals (Correggese 1.24 · Tropical Coriano 0.74), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Correggese vs Tropical Coriano?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.

