Prediction: Pistoiese vs USD Castellanzese
Team pages: Pistoiese · USD Castellanzese
| Pistoiese | Draw | USD Castellanzese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 27% | 18% |
| Market | 56% | 26% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pistoiese | USD Castellanzese | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.3 | 1.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 57/29/14% | 33/50/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.3 | 2.6 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.6 | 2.7 / 0 |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | ASD Licata | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Igea Virtus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 15 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 9 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 5 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 22 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pistoiese | USD Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Correggese | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| A.C.D. Sant'Angelo | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| ASD Varesina | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Arconatese | 5-0 W | 1-0 W |
| A.C. Crema 1908 | 3-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Solbiatese Calcio 1911 | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pistoiese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Cittadella Vis Modena Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Pavia Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 11/10 | Correggese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | USD Casatese Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | A.C.D. Sant'Angelo Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | ASD Varesina Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Arconatese Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | A.C. Crema 1908 Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Solbiatese Calcio 1911 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Cittadella Vis Modena Italy Serie D |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
USD Castellanzese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | ASD Varesina Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | Correggese Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Arconatese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | A.C.D. Sant'Angelo Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | A.C. Crema 1908 Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Solbiatese Calcio 1911 Italy Serie D |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Oltrepò Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Lentigione Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Pontedera Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pistoiese vs USD Castellanzese?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pistoiese win (55%). Probabilities: Pistoiese 55%, draw 26%, USD Castellanzese 18%.
How many goals are expected in Pistoiese vs USD Castellanzese?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Pistoiese 1.63 · USD Castellanzese 0.84), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Pistoiese vs USD Castellanzese?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.