Football · Italy Serie D · 01/11, 14:30

Prediction: ASD Varesina vs Citta di Varese

Team pages: ASD Varesina · Citta di Varese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
ASD Varesina1.24
Citta di Varese1.57
1X2
29% 28% 43%
ASD Varesina Draw Citta di Varese
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Varesina 1-6-3 (W-D-L)
DWDLLLDDDD
Citta di Varese 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDLDWDLWWD
Head-to-head
ASD Varesina 3–1–0 Citta di Varese (4 last)
  • ASD Varesina0-0Citta di Varese
  • ASD Varesina2-0Citta di Varese
  • Citta di Varese0-1ASD Varesina
  • ASD Varesina4-1Citta di Varese
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASD Varesina 1474 · Citta di Varese 1505
ASD VaresinaDrawCitta di Varese
Our model29%27%44%
Market28%29%43%
Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours ASD Varesina: 3-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ASD VaresinaCitta di Varese
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.51.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/100/0%57/29/14%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.51.4 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 03.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Varesina 3–1–0 Citta di Varese

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DateHomeScoreAway
31/08/25
Italy Serie D Cup
ASD Varesina0-0Citta di Varese
03/09/23
Italy Serie D Cup
ASD Varesina2-0
HT 1-0
Citta di Varese
12/02/23
Italy Serie D
Citta di Varese0-1
HT 0-1
ASD Varesina
09/10/22
Italy Serie D
ASD Varesina4-1Citta di Varese

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 9621 20520
2 Sambiase 9621 13620
3 Vibonese 9531 20818
4 ASD Licata 9522 121417
5 Calcio Avola 1949 9513 121216
6 Milazzo 9513 101016
7 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 9432 15815
8 Igea Virtus 9432 211715
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 8323 111011
10 Città di Gela 9243 1089
11 Nissa FC 9234 11139
12 Siracusa 9432 1388
13 Vigor Lamezia 9225 10178
14 ASD CastrumFavara 9225 10128
15 Modica 8215 7117
16 Trapani 9315 5125
17 ASD Ragusa 9036 7163
18 Enna Calcio 9027 2222

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentASD VaresinaCitta di Varese
Pro Sesto 0-0 D 0-2 L
Cittadella Vis Modena 3-2 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ASD Varesina (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Varesina

DWDLLLDDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 44 D
18/10 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 41 D
11/10 Pavia
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 45 D
04/10 Pro Patria
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 35 D
27/09 USD Casatese
Italy Serie D
– 2-4 –– L
20/09 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
16/09 Correggese
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 64 L
13/09 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 65 D
06/09 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
– 3-2 –– W
03/05 ASD Caldiero Terme
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D

Citta di Varese

LDLDWDLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Solbiatese Calcio 1911
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
18/10 Arconatese
Italy Serie D
3-0 5-1 31 W
11/10 Oltrepò
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
04/10 A.C. Crema 1908
Italy Serie D
– 2-3 –– L
27/09 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 33 D
20/09 Pontedera
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-0 13 W
16/09 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 14 D
12/09 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 63 L
06/09 Tropical Coriano
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 57 D
17/05 Ligorna
Italy Serie D
0-3 3-5 36 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Varesina vs Citta di Varese?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Citta di Varese win (43%). Probabilities: ASD Varesina 29%, draw 28%, Citta di Varese 43%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Varesina vs Citta di Varese?

The model expects 2.81 goals (ASD Varesina 1.24 · Citta di Varese 1.57), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Varesina vs Citta di Varese?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.