Football · Italy Serie D · 27/09, 15:00
Prediction: Pro Sesto vs Oltrepò
Team pages: Pro Sesto · Oltrepò
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Pro Sesto1.73
Oltrepò0.89
1X2
Pro Sesto
Draw
Oltrepò
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Pro Sesto
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Oltrepò
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pro Sesto 1516 · Oltrepò 1493
| Pro Sesto | Draw | Oltrepò | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pro Sesto | Oltrepò | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 43/43/14% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4 | 1.9 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.1 |
Standings · Italy Serie D
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Igea Virtus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | Sambiase | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Nissa FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 9 | ASD Licata | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 10 | Modica | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 12 | ASD CastrumFavara | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Città di Gela | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | ASD Ragusa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 16 | Siracusa | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | Enna Calcio | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 1 |
| 18 | Trapani | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pro Sesto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | A.C. Crema 1908 Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/09 | Pontedera Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Citta di Varese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Lentigione Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Correggese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Tuttocuoio Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Piacenza Italy Serie D |
0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Pistoiese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 02/04 | Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/03 | Imolese Italy Serie D |
1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
Oltrepò
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Tropical Coriano Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | USD Castellanzese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Pro Patria Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | ASD Brusaporto Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | ASD Villa D'Alme Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Sondrio Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 02/04 | Real Calepina FC Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 29/03 | US Breno Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 22/03 | Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pro Sesto vs Oltrepò?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pro Sesto win (57%). Probabilities: Pro Sesto 57%, draw 25%, Oltrepò 18%.
How many goals are expected in Pro Sesto vs Oltrepò?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Pro Sesto 1.73 · Oltrepò 0.89), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Pro Sesto vs Oltrepò?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.