Prediction: USD Castellanzese vs Oltrepò
- Oltrepò2-0USD Castellanzese
- USD Castellanzese2-2Oltrepò
| USD Castellanzese | Draw | Oltrepò | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 30% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oltrepò (rating 1457 vs 1503).
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| USD Castellanzese | Oltrepò | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 33/67/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.8 | 1.5 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · USD Castellanzese 0–1–1 Oltrepò
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Italy Serie D | Oltrepò | 2-0 | USD Castellanzese |
| 24/09/25 Italy Serie D | USD Castellanzese | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Oltrepò |
Standings · Italy Serie D
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASD CastrumFavara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Reggina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Nissa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Sambiase | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Milazzo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Modica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | ASD Ragusa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | ASD Licata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | Enna Calcio | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 | Città di Gela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 | Siracusa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 |
| 18 | Trapani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | USD Castellanzese | Oltrepò |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan U23 | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Scanzorosciate | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| ASD Brusaporto | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Oltrepò (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
USD Castellanzese
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Pontedera Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | AC Milan U23 Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | AC Chievo Verona Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 12/04 | AC Leon Monza Brianza Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 29/03 | Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Pavia Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 18/03 | ASD Varesina Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 01/03 | AVC Vogherese 1919 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 22/02 | ASD Brusaporto Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
Oltrepò
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Pro Patria Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | ASD Brusaporto Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | ASD Villa D'Alme Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Sondrio Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 02/04 | Real Calepina FC Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 29/03 | US Breno Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 22/03 | Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/03 | AC Milan U23 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 01/03 | ASD Caldiero Terme Italy Serie D |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in USD Castellanzese vs Oltrepò?
According to our model, the most likely result is a USD Castellanzese win (38%). Probabilities: USD Castellanzese 38%, draw 29%, Oltrepò 32%.
How many goals are expected in USD Castellanzese vs Oltrepò?
The model expects 2.43 goals (USD Castellanzese 1.27 · Oltrepò 1.16), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in USD Castellanzese vs Oltrepò?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.