Football · Italy Serie D · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: Correggese vs A.C.D. Sant'Angelo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Correggese1.44

A.C.D. Sant'Angelo1.22

1X2

41% 29% 31%

Correggese Draw A.C.D. Sant'Angelo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Correggese 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWLDWWDDDW

A.C.D. Sant'Angelo 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLDWDD

Head-to-head

Correggese 3–2 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo (5 last)

Correggese2-1A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
A.C.D. Sant'Angelo2-1Correggese
Correggese1-2A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
A.C.D. Sant'Angelo1-2Correggese
Correggese2-1A.C.D. Sant'Angelo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Correggese 1504 · A.C.D. Sant'Angelo 1533

	Correggese	Draw	A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Our model	41%	28%	31%
Market	41%	29%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Correggese: 3-0-2.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Correggese	A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/0/57%	33/0/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	3.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.4	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.10

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:52 +3’	2.20	3.10	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Correggese 3–0–2 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Italy Serie D	Correggese	2-1 HT 1-0	A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
23/11/25 Italy Serie D	A.C.D. Sant'Angelo	2-1	Correggese
14/05/23 Italy Serie D	Correggese	1-2	A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
30/04/23 Italy Serie D	A.C.D. Sant'Angelo	1-2	Correggese
17/12/22 Italy Serie D	Correggese	2-1 HT 1-0	A.C.D. Sant'Angelo

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	Pts
1	Sambiase	0
1	ASD CastrumFavara	0
1	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	0
1	ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio	0
1	ASD Ragusa	0
1	Calcio Avola 1949	0
1	Enna Calcio	0
1	Igea Virtus	0
1	ASD Licata	0
1	Reggina	0
1	Milazzo	0
1	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	0
1	Nissa FC	0
1	Vibonese	0
1	Vigor Lamezia	0
16	Città di Gela	-1
17	Trapani	-5
18	Siracusa	-7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Correggese	A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
SCD Progresso Calcio	1-1 D	1-1 D
Tuttocuoio	6-0 W	1-0 W
Lentigione	1-1 D	2-2 D
Piacenza	1-3 L	1-1 D
Pistoiese	0-3 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: A.C.D. Sant'Angelo (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Correggese

LWLDWWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/05	Pro Sesto Italy Serie D	–	1-0	–	–	W
26/04	A.C. Crema 1908 Italy Serie D	–	0-0	–	–	D
19/04	CS Trevigliese Italy Serie D	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
12/04	SCD Progresso Calcio Italy Serie D	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
02/04	A.C.D. Sant'Angelo Italy Serie D	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
29/03	Tuttocuoio Italy Serie D	–	6-0	–	–	W
22/03	Lentigione Italy Serie D	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
15/03	Piacenza Italy Serie D	1-2	1-3	2	1	L
01/03	ASD Sasso Marconi Italy Serie D	1-0	2-0	0	6	W
22/02	Pistoiese Italy Serie D	0-1	0-3	5	7	L

A.C.D. Sant'Angelo

LWWLLLDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/05	Lentigione Italy Serie D	1-2	2-2	9	3	D
26/04	SCD Progresso Calcio Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/04	Tuttocuoio Italy Serie D	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/04	Piacenza Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
02/04	Correggese Italy Serie D	0-1	1-2	7	5	L
29/03	Pistoiese Italy Serie D	–	1-3	–	–	L
22/03	Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D	–	2-3	–	–	L
15/03	Imolese Italy Serie D	–	2-0	–	–	W
01/03	Sangiuliano City FC Italy Serie D	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
22/02	Desenzano Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Correggese vs A.C.D. Sant'Angelo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Correggese win (41%). Probabilities: Correggese 41%, draw 29%, A.C.D. Sant'Angelo 31%.

How many goals are expected in Correggese vs A.C.D. Sant'Angelo?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Correggese 1.44 · A.C.D. Sant'Angelo 1.22), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Correggese vs A.C.D. Sant'Angelo?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.