Football · Italy Serie D · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: Pro Sesto vs Lentigione

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Pro Sesto1.28
Lentigione1.33
1X2
34% 29% 37%
Pro Sesto Draw Lentigione
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Pro Sesto 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLLWLDDLWL
Lentigione 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWDDWWWLWD
Head-to-head
Pro Sesto 1–1–0 Lentigione (2 last)
  • Lentigione1-1Pro Sesto
  • Pro Sesto3-1Lentigione
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pro Sesto 1484 · Lentigione 1533
Pro SestoDrawLentigione
Our model34%29%37%
Market34%30%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lentigione (rating 1484 vs 1533).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pro SestoLentigione
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.41.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.91.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)38/38/25%56/22/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.92.5 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 0.13.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pro Sesto 110 Lentigione

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/01/26
Italy Serie D
Lentigione1-1Pro Sesto
14/09/25
Italy Serie D
Pro Sesto3-1
HT 3-1
Lentigione

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Sambiase 000 000
1 ASD CastrumFavara 000 000
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 000 000
1 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 000 000
1 ASD Ragusa 000 000
1 Calcio Avola 1949 000 000
1 Enna Calcio 000 000
1 Igea Virtus 000 000
1 ASD Licata 000 000
1 Reggina 000 000
1 Milazzo 000 000
1 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 000 000
1 Nissa FC 000 000
1 Vibonese 000 000
1 Vigor Lamezia 000 000
16 Città di Gela 000 00-1
17 Trapani 000 00-5
18 Siracusa 000 00-7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPro SestoLentigione
Correggese 0-1 L 1-1 D
Tuttocuoio 2-0 W 1-0 W
Piacenza 1-3 L 3-1 W
Pistoiese 0-0 D 1-1 D
Pro Palazzo 0-0 D 2-1 W
Imolese 2-4 L 4-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 3 L 4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Lentigione (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pro Sesto

WLLWLDDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/05 Correggese
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
26/04 Tuttocuoio
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 71 W
19/04 Piacenza
Italy Serie D
0-3 1-3 13 L
12/04 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 23 D
02/04 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 52 D
29/03 Imolese
Italy Serie D
1-3 2-4 16 L
22/03 Sangiuliano City FC
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 31 W
15/03 Desenzano
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 44 L
01/03 Rovato Vertovese SSD
Italy Serie D
1-2 L
22/02 Tropical Coriano
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 80 W

Lentigione

WWDDWWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/05 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-2 13 D
26/04 CS Trevigliese
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
19/04 SCD Progresso Calcio
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 84 L
12/04 Tuttocuoio
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 43 W
02/04 ASD Sasso Marconi
Italy Serie D
0-1 2-1 94 W
29/03 Piacenza
Italy Serie D
2-0 3-1 53 W
25/03 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 45 D
22/03 Correggese
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 97 D
01/03 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-1 31 W
22/02 Imolese
Italy Serie D
3-0 4-0 54 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pro Sesto vs Lentigione?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lentigione win (37%). Probabilities: Pro Sesto 34%, draw 29%, Lentigione 37%.

How many goals are expected in Pro Sesto vs Lentigione?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Pro Sesto 1.28 · Lentigione 1.33), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Pro Sesto vs Lentigione?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.