Football · Italy Serie D · 16/09, 15:00

Prediction: Correggese vs ASD Varesina

Team pages: Correggese · ASD Varesina

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Correggese1.21
ASD Varesina1.17
1X2
36% 31% 34%
Correggese Draw ASD Varesina
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Correggese 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
WLDWWDDDWD
ASD Varesina 3-6-1 (W-D-L)
DDDWLWDDWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Correggese 1526 · ASD Varesina 1527
CorreggeseDrawASD Varesina
Our model36%30%34%
Market35%31%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CorreggeseASD Varesina
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 0.81.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.70.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/0/57%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 42.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.33.8 / 0

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
2 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
2 Reggina 1100 503
4 Vibonese 1100 403
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 2101 543
8 Sambiase 1100 213
9 Milazzo 2101 343
10 Modica 1010 221
11 ASD Ragusa 2011 351
12 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
13 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
15 Enna Calcio 2002 080
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Correggese

WLDWWDDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 43 D
03/05 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
26/04 A.C. Crema 1908
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
19/04 CS Trevigliese
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 86 D
12/04 SCD Progresso Calcio
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 75 D
02/04 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 45 W
29/03 Tuttocuoio
Italy Serie D
6-0 W
22/03 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 37 D
15/03 Piacenza
Italy Serie D
1-2 1-3 21 L
01/03 ASD Sasso Marconi
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 06 W

ASD Varesina

DDDWLWDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 65 D
06/09 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
3-2 W
03/05 ASD Caldiero Terme
Italy Serie D
2-2 D
26/04 US Breno
Italy Serie D
0-1 2-2 25 D
19/04 AC Milan U23
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 73 W
12/04 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
22/03 USD Casatese
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
18/03 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 63 D
01/03 Pavia
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 24 D
22/02 Scanzorosciate
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 33 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Correggese vs ASD Varesina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Correggese win (36%). Probabilities: Correggese 36%, draw 31%, ASD Varesina 34%.

How many goals are expected in Correggese vs ASD Varesina?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Correggese 1.21 · ASD Varesina 1.17), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Correggese vs ASD Varesina?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.