Football · Italy Serie D · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: AC Leon Monza Brianza vs ASD Brusaporto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

AC Leon Monza Brianza1.48

ASD Brusaporto0.87

1X2

51% 28% 21%

AC Leon Monza Brianza Draw ASD Brusaporto

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

AC Leon Monza Brianza 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLDDL

ASD Brusaporto 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLLWLWWL

Head-to-head

AC Leon Monza Brianza 1–3 ASD Brusaporto (4 last)

ASD Brusaporto0-1AC Leon Monza Brianza
AC Leon Monza Brianza0-1ASD Brusaporto
AC Leon Monza Brianza1-3ASD Brusaporto
ASD Brusaporto3-1AC Leon Monza Brianza

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Leon Monza Brianza 1488 · ASD Brusaporto 1500

	AC Leon Monza Brianza	Draw	ASD Brusaporto
Our model	50%	29%	21%
Market	51%	27%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours ASD Brusaporto: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AC Leon Monza Brianza	ASD Brusaporto
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	14/71/14%	14/71/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5	1.2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.30

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:50 +5’	1.73	3.30	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Leon Monza Brianza 1–0–3 ASD Brusaporto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Italy Serie D	ASD Brusaporto	0-1 HT 0-0	AC Leon Monza Brianza
02/11/25 Italy Serie D	AC Leon Monza Brianza	0-1	ASD Brusaporto
02/02/22 Italy Serie D	AC Leon Monza Brianza	1-3 HT 0-1	ASD Brusaporto
26/09/21 Italy Serie D	ASD Brusaporto	3-1	AC Leon Monza Brianza

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	Pts
1	Sambiase	0
1	ASD CastrumFavara	0
1	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	0
1	ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio	0
1	ASD Ragusa	0
1	Calcio Avola 1949	0
1	Enna Calcio	0
1	Igea Virtus	0
1	ASD Licata	0
1	Reggina	0
1	Milazzo	0
1	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	0
1	Nissa FC	0
1	Vibonese	0
1	Vigor Lamezia	0
16	Città di Gela	-1
17	Trapani	-5
18	Siracusa	-7

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AC Leon Monza Brianza	ASD Brusaporto
USD Casatese	0-1 L	1-1 D
AC Chievo Verona	2-2 D	0-1 L
USD Castellanzese	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ASD Brusaporto (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Leon Monza Brianza

WWLWWWLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/05	USD Casatese Italy Serie D	–	0-1	–	–	L
26/04	AC Chievo Verona Italy Serie D	1-1	2-2	1	6	D
19/04	Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D	–	0-0	–	–	D
12/04	USD Castellanzese Italy Serie D	0-1	0-1	11	5	L
02/04	Pavia Italy Serie D	1-1	3-1	5	5	W
22/03	AVC Vogherese 1919 Italy Serie D	2-2	3-2	7	2	W
15/03	ASD Brusaporto Italy Serie D	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
01/03	ASD Villa D'Alme Italy Serie D	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
22/02	Real Calepina FC Italy Serie D	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/02	Sondrio Italy Serie D	2-1	4-1	1	3	W

ASD Brusaporto

WDLLLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/05	Oltrepò Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/04	US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie D	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
19/04	US Breno Italy Serie D	–	2-0	–	–	W
12/04	AC Milan U23 Italy Serie D	–	0-4	–	–	L
02/04	ASD Caldiero Terme Italy Serie D	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
29/03	AC Chievo Verona Italy Serie D	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
22/03	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Italy Serie D	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
15/03	AC Leon Monza Brianza Italy Serie D	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
01/03	USD Casatese Italy Serie D	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
22/02	USD Castellanzese Italy Serie D	0-0	1-0	1	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Leon Monza Brianza vs ASD Brusaporto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Leon Monza Brianza win (51%). Probabilities: AC Leon Monza Brianza 51%, draw 28%, ASD Brusaporto 21%.

How many goals are expected in AC Leon Monza Brianza vs ASD Brusaporto?

The model expects 2.35 goals (AC Leon Monza Brianza 1.48 · ASD Brusaporto 0.87), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Leon Monza Brianza vs ASD Brusaporto?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.