Football · Italy Serie D · 06/09, 15:00
Prediction: Real Calepina FC vs Pro Palazzo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Real Calepina FC1.14
Pro Palazzo1.24
1X2
Real Calepina FC
Draw
Pro Palazzo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Calepina FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Pro Palazzo
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Calepina FC
0–1–2
Pro Palazzo
(3 last)
- Pro Palazzo1-0Real Calepina FC
- Real Calepina FC0-0Pro Palazzo
- Pro Palazzo2-1Real Calepina FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Calepina FC 1514 · Pro Palazzo 1545
| Real Calepina FC | Draw | Pro Palazzo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Market | 33% | 29% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Pro Palazzo: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Calepina FC | Pro Palazzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/29/29% | 50/25/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.1 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Calepina FC 0–1–2 Pro Palazzo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/24 Italy Serie D | Pro Palazzo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Real Calepina FC |
| 19/11/23 Italy Serie D | Real Calepina FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Pro Palazzo |
| 15/11/23 Italy Serie D Cup | Pro Palazzo | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Real Calepina FC |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sambiase | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ASD CastrumFavara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ASD Ragusa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Enna Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Igea Virtus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ASD Licata | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Reggina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Milazzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nissa FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vibonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vigor Lamezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Città di Gela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 | Trapani | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 |
| 18 | Siracusa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Calepina FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05 | Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Sondrio Italy Serie D |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | US Breno Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 08/04 | AC Milan U23 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/04 | Oltrepò Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | ASD Caldiero Terme Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | AC Chievo Verona Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/03 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 22/02 | AC Leon Monza Brianza Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Pro Palazzo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05 | Tropical Coriano Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Cittadella Vis Modena Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | A.C. Crema 1908 Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | CS Trevigliese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/04 | Pro Sesto Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 28/03 | SCD Progresso Calcio Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | A.C.D. Sant'Angelo Italy Serie D |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 15/03 | Tuttocuoio Italy Serie D |
4-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 01/03 | Lentigione Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/02 | Piacenza Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Calepina FC vs Pro Palazzo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Pro Palazzo win (37%). Probabilities: Real Calepina FC 33%, draw 30%, Pro Palazzo 37%.
How many goals are expected in Real Calepina FC vs Pro Palazzo?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Real Calepina FC 1.14 · Pro Palazzo 1.24), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Calepina FC vs Pro Palazzo?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.