Football · Italy Serie D · 16/09, 14:30
Prediction: AC Chievo Verona vs Club Milano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
AC Chievo Verona1.67
Club Milano0.83
1X2
AC Chievo Verona
Draw
Club Milano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Chievo Verona
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Club Milano
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AC Chievo Verona
2–1
Club Milano
(3 last)
- Club Milano2-1AC Chievo Verona
- AC Chievo Verona2-1Club Milano
- Club Milano0-1AC Chievo Verona
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AC Chievo Verona 1571 · Club Milano 1505
| AC Chievo Verona | Draw | Club Milano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 57% | 25% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Chievo Verona (rating 1571 vs 1505).
- H2H favours AC Chievo Verona: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AC Chievo Verona | Club Milano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 2.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/71/0% | 29/43/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 5.7 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Chievo Verona 2–0–1 Club Milano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/25 Italy Serie D | Club Milano | 2-1 HT 2-1 | AC Chievo Verona |
| 03/11/24 Italy Serie D | AC Chievo Verona | 2-1 | Club Milano |
| 31/01/24 Italy Serie D | Club Milano | 0-1 | AC Chievo Verona |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Reggina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | ASD CastrumFavara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Nissa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | ASD Ragusa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Vigor Lamezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Milazzo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Enna Calcio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | ASD Licata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Città di Gela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 | Siracusa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 |
| 18 | Trapani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AC Chievo Verona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | ASD Calcio Pavonese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | USD Casatese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Pavia Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | AC Leon Monza Brianza Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | USD Castellanzese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 12/04 | ASD Varesina Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/04 | AVC Vogherese 1919 Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 29/03 | ASD Brusaporto Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | ASD Villa D'Alme Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Real Calepina FC Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Club Milano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Asti Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Sanremese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | NovaRomentino Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 6-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Cairese Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/04 | Biellesse Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 28/03 | Lavagnese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Chisola Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | ASDC Gozzano Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/03 | Valenzana Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AC Chievo Verona vs Club Milano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Chievo Verona win (56%). Probabilities: AC Chievo Verona 56%, draw 26%, Club Milano 18%.
How many goals are expected in AC Chievo Verona vs Club Milano?
The model expects 2.49 goals (AC Chievo Verona 1.67 · Club Milano 0.83), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AC Chievo Verona vs Club Milano?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.