Football · Spain Tercera Group 13 · 13/09, 11:00
Prediction: SFC Minerva vs FC Cartagena B
Team pages: SFC Minerva · FC Cartagena B
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
SFC Minerva1.19
FC Cartagena B1.18
1X2
SFC Minerva
Draw
FC Cartagena B
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
SFC Minerva
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
FC Cartagena B
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SFC Minerva
3–2–1
FC Cartagena B
(6 last)
- FC Cartagena B3-0SFC Minerva
- SFC Minerva2-2FC Cartagena B
- FC Cartagena B0-0SFC Minerva
- SFC Minerva2-1FC Cartagena B
- FC Cartagena B0-1SFC Minerva
- SFC Minerva2-1FC Cartagena B
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SFC Minerva 1510 · FC Cartagena B 1437
| SFC Minerva | Draw | FC Cartagena B | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 30% | 34% |
| Market | 36% | 29% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SFC Minerva (rating 1510 vs 1437).
- H2H favours SFC Minerva: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SFC Minerva | FC Cartagena B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/75/13% | 25/63/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 3.8 | 1.5 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 5.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SFC Minerva 3–2–1 FC Cartagena B
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 13 | FC Cartagena B | 3-0 HT 2-0 | SFC Minerva |
| 26/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 13 | SFC Minerva | 2-2 | FC Cartagena B |
| 16/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 13 | FC Cartagena B | 0-0 HT 0-0 | SFC Minerva |
| 05/01/25 Spain Tercera Group 13 | SFC Minerva | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FC Cartagena B |
| 07/03/20 Spain Tercera Group 13 | FC Cartagena B | 0-1 | SFC Minerva |
| 20/10/19 Spain Tercera Group 13 | SFC Minerva | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FC Cartagena B |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 13
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Molinense CF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | At. Pulpileno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | AD Mar Menor San Javier | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Santomera | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Cotillas CD | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | SFC Minerva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bala Azul | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Olimpico Totana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Aguilas B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Alcantarilla FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Bullas Deportivo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | UD Los Garres | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Atletico Santa Cruz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Mazarron | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | UCAM Murcia CF B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Deportivo Maritimo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Cartagena B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | CD Algar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SFC Minerva | FC Cartagena B |
|---|---|---|
| Union Molinense CF | 2-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Atletico Santa Cruz | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Santomera | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| UD Caravaca | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Cieza | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Bala Azul | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: SFC Minerva (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SFC Minerva
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Deportivo Maritimo Spain Tercera Group 13 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | El Palmar CF Estrella Grana Spain Tercera Group 13 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Maritimo Spain Tercera Group 13 |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Union Molinense CF Spain Tercera Group 13 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Atletico Santa Cruz Spain Tercera Group 13 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Santomera Spain Tercera Group 13 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/04 | UD Caravaca Spain Tercera Group 13 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/03 | Cieza Spain Tercera Group 13 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 22/03 | Bala Azul Spain Tercera Group 13 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 19/03 | At. Pulpileno Spain Tercera Group 13 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
FC Cartagena B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Union Molinense CF Spain Tercera Group 13 |
1-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Atletico Santa Cruz Spain Tercera Group 13 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Santomera Spain Tercera Group 13 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 25/04 | UD Caravaca Spain Tercera Group 13 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Cieza Spain Tercera Group 13 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | Bala Azul Spain Tercera Group 13 |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/04 | Olimpico Totana Spain Tercera Group 13 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 29/03 | Muleno Spain Tercera Group 13 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Real Murcia B Spain Tercera Group 13 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 14/03 | Yeclano B Spain Tercera Group 13 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SFC Minerva vs FC Cartagena B?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SFC Minerva win (36%). Probabilities: SFC Minerva 36%, draw 30%, FC Cartagena B 35%.
How many goals are expected in SFC Minerva vs FC Cartagena B?
The model expects 2.37 goals (SFC Minerva 1.19 · FC Cartagena B 1.18), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SFC Minerva vs FC Cartagena B?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.